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Suggested Citation:


Kocian, M., Batker, D., Harrison-Cox, J. 2011. An Ecological Study of Ecuador's Intag Region: The Environmental Impacts and Potential Rewards of Mining. Earth Economics, Tacoma, WA.


!"#$%&'( Maya Kocian, David Batker, Jennifer Harrison-Cox


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This study was conducted with the support of the Threshold Foundation, Seattle International

Foundation, and the Holly Hill Charitable Trust and with significant assistance from Paola

Castegnaro, Zachary Christin, Rowan Schmidt, Lola Paulina Flores, and Colin Arisman.


The authors would like to extend a warm thank you to our project partners for their valuable contributions to this report: Theodosis Theodosopoulos, Martin Stanley, Joshua Farley, Marlies Wierenga, Astia Roper-Batker, Jose Cueva, Mariana Walter, Sara Latorre Tomas and Fernando Espinosa. We would also like to thank our reviewers, Carlos Zorrilla, Fabian Sandoval, and Jonathan Kochmer; our editors, Leah Mitchell, Jeff Mitchell, and Briahna Taylor; and our translator, Natalia Fajardo.


This project would not have been possible without the initial support of DECOIN, a grassroots environmental organization devoted to conserving the unique biodiversity in the Intag area of northwestern Ecuador.


Earth Economics team members who assisted with this report include Kellen Hawley, Jonathan Roberts, Patrick Miller, Tedi Dickinson, Caleb Tomlinson, Greg Lund, Steven Rystrom, and Yvonne Snyder. We would also like to thank our Board of Directors: Joshua Reyneveld, Ingrid Rasch, David Cosman, and Joshua Farley for their continued passion and dedication to our work.


The authors are responsible for the content of this report.


image

Cover photo by Kevin Schafer Layout by Maya Kocian


©2011 by Earth Economics. Reproduction of this publication for educational or other non-commercial purposes is authorized without prior written permission from the copyright holder provided the source is fully acknowledged. Reproduction of this publication for resale or other commercial purposes is prohibited without prior written permission of the copyright holder.

image

This study was funded by the Threshold Foundation's Sustainable Planet Committee, whose mission is meeting the needs of people now without compromising the needs of future generations, and by the Seattle International Foundation, which exists to support research and advocacy in the U.S.

and developing countries, with an emphasis on disseminating findings to

policymakers, the media, academics focused on development, and to U.S.

development agencies and other stakeholders. Funding also came from 3$/ 4%..5

Hill Charitable Trust, a private foundation based in the United Kingdom whose

focus is to sponsor environmental and educational projects in several countries.

This project would not have been possible without the initial support of DECOIN,

a grassroots environmental organization that finds ways to conserve the unique

biodiversity in the Intag area of northwestern Ecuador.


ii

Executive Summary 6

image Part 1: Development in Intag 11

Overview 11

Economic Development Options 14

Alternative Development Vision 18

Choosing Between Development Alternatives 21

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Part 2: Copper Extraction and Revenue 25

Copper 25

World Copper Production 25

Copper Extraction 27

Copper Production Costs 28

Copper Price Volatility 28

Selling Copper 30

Economic Estimates of Junin's Mineral Deposit 33

Open-Pit Mine Remediation and Compliance 34

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Part 3: Ecosystem Services in Intag 37

Categories of Ecosystem Services 37

Local Perspectives 37

Ecosystem Service Descriptions and Examples 37

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Part 4: Valuation Analysis of the Intag Region 59

Valuation Methodology 59

Intag Land Cover Class 60

Ecosystem Services Identified and Valued 63

High and Low Value Estimates by Land Cover Class 63

Summary of Results 67

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Part 5: Implications and Recommendations 69

Investing in the Future 69

Decision-Making Support 69

Development of Funding Sources 71

Towards a Sustainable and Desirable Future 72

Next Steps 72

Conclusion 74

Photo Credits 76

Appendix A: Study Limitations 77

Appendix B: Key Ecological Economics Concepts 80

Appendix C: Value Transfer Studies Used by Land Cover Class 89

Appendix D: Ecosystem Service Valuation Studies 92

Appendix E: Ascendant Copper-Results of Check Assaying Program on Junin Property 95

Endnotes 97

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List of Figures and Tables


Figure 1: Study Area 10

Table 1: Extractive Industry Impact on GDP 16

Table 2: Summary of Economic Arguments For and Against Mining 17

Table 3: Summary of Social Arguments For and Against Mining 18

Table 4: Current Tourist Attractions 20

Figure 2: Illustration of the difference between price and value. 22

Figure 3: Worldwide Copper Production in 2008 (metric tons) 26

Figure 4. Copper Processing 27

Figure 5: Real Prices for Copper, 1870-1997 29

Figure 6: Copper Prices since 1995 29

Figure 7: The Timing of the Quotation Pricing Between the Concentrate Producer and the Smelter

and Refiner. 31

Table 5: Cash Flows and Revenues from the Sale of Copper on a Shipment 32

Table 6: Junin Preliminary Revenue Estimates 34

Table 7: Examples of Remediation Costs 35

Table 8: List of 23 Ecosystem Services 38

Table 9: Methods for Primary Research in Ecosystem Service Valuation. 60

Figure 8: Map and Acreage of Intag Region by Land Cover Class 61

Table 10: Ecosystem Services Identified and Valued in Intag 62

Table 11: High and Low Estimates for Agricultural Lands 63

Table 12: High and Low Estimates for Bamboo 63

Table 13: High and Low Estimates for Cloud Forests 64

Table 14: High and Low Estimates for Pasture 64

Table 15: High and Low Estimates for Pasture and Agricultural 65

Table 16: High and Low Estimates for Native Andean Alpine Grassland 65

Table 17: High and Low Estimates for Rivers and Lakes 66

Table 18: Annual Ecosystem Service Value Flows for the Intag Region 66

Table 19: Present Value over 100 Years with Zero and Three Percent Discount Rates 67


iv

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Table of Abbreviations


CO( Carbon Dioxide DOP Date of Production EE Earth Economics

EIS Environmental Impact Study ESV Ecosystem Service Valuation GDP Gross Domestic Product GHGs Greenhouse Gases

GIS Geographic Information System Ha Hectare

IUCN International Union for Conservation of Nature LME London Metal Exchange

M Meter

NGO Non-governmental Organization

PES Payment for Ecosystem Services

PV Present Value

Rcs Refining Charges

REDD Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation

ROI Return on Investment

Tcs Treatment Charges


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The Intag region of Ecuador spans two of the world's 34 most biologically important areas. With diminishing oil reserves and an increasing demand for minerals from emerging economies, leaders in the provincial and national government are under tremendous pressure to expand state incomes through natural resource extraction.


Notably, a report carried out by the Japanese International Co-operation Agency (JICA) in 1998 estimates that Intag may have as much as 318 million tons of copper ore in the ground. Copper is in high demand worldwide and offers an attractive

opportunity to increase national incomes. Yet copper mining has significant downstream landscape and social costs which have often been excluded from mining economic analysis. More importantly, the majority of Intag's population have worked over a decade to develop and implement an alternative and prosperous vision of the region's economy, which does not include mining.


The following study examines the economic value of the region's unique natural goods, which include water, timber, and agricultural products, as well as

the services such as flood protection, drinking water filtration, local weather and climate stability, aesthetic value, and recreation. The objective is to examine

the viability of two development pathways: copper extraction and alternative eco-development. We also identify options for pursuing economic prosperity with practical development strategies that live within the physical limits of the local and global ecosystems, and are sustainable.


The ecosystem services examined in this report include climate stability, flood protection, drinking water purification and supply, wildlife habitat, pollination, soil erosion control, soil formation, biological control, nutrient cycling, raw materials, waste treatment, food production as well as aesthetic and recreational values. The forests of Intag include


lower montane humid forests, pre-montane forests and montane very humid forests. The seven land- cover types analyzed are: cloud forests, agricultural lands, pastures, mix of agricultural and pastures, rivers and lakes, native Andean alpine grasslands (paramo in Spanish), and native bamboo.


In our research, we found that 17 of 23 ecosystem services across the land-cover types in Intag provide the regional and national community an average

of $447 million in yearly benefits. These figures are based on cutting-edge economic analysis tools that were developed, in part, with a United States National Science Foundation grant.


One way of determining economic value is to estimate the asset value of the natural capital providing this annual flow of value. This is like comparing house payments (flow of value) to the market value of the house (asset value). The value of an asset can be estimated from the flow of benefits it provides. If

the natural capital of the Intag region were treated like an economic asset, the asset value of the natural systems would be an average of $15.5 billion at a three-percent discount rate, which recognizes the renewable nature of ecosystem services and that there will be people in the future benefiting from them.


It is becoming increasingly clear that economic sustainability relies on environmental sustainability. The loss of nature's bounty has real regional and global economic costs. The analysis of economic benefits of natural systems has advanced very rapidly

with the realization that natural systems are vital to the health and development of economies.

Economics is re-tooling for the 21st century with three essential goals: sustainability, justice, and economic 6&%1&/''. Sustainability requires living off the

natural systems in such a way that they can continue

to provide the goods and services they produce

indefinitely. Justice and rights are core democratic

values. Rights frame and help define economic value.

Economic progress provides a global approach to

sustainable economic growth, alleviates poverty, and

achieves social progress.


The value of the economic benefits the Intag region provides is enormous; indeed, it is priceless. The benefits provided are local, national and global. The economic value of the watershed is larger than its built economic assets or the underground minerals. This conclusion may be surprising given the price of copper in today's market, however, as this report illuminates, the social and environmental costs of copper extraction are much higher than the value of copper itself.


In Intag and elsewhere, economic progress depends on healthy communities, healthy people, and sustainable ecosystems, along with the political empowerment of local residents to choose and develop their own model of well-being. Development progress must be resilient to price fluctuations in single commodities and extend beyond the life of traditional extractive industries. Strategic investment in conservation, developing and enhancing the actual

and potential sustainable economic alternatives, along with finding ethical markets for the rich diversity of ecosystem goods and services is key to the long-term viability of this special region of Ecuador.


Ecuadorian leadership has critical investment decisions to make. The term "investment" describes the choices we make today to place resources for returns in the future. An economy is the product of previous decades of investment. Future generations will benefit or suffer from the choices made today.


This report provides several recommendations for stabilizing and promoting the social and economic conditions in Intag, which include the following:



The overall conclusion of the report is that economic development within the Intag region is best achieved by tapping the vast value that ecosystem goods and services provide and that this approach is aligned with the development vision of Intag communities.

Copper development will carry great costs. It is a risky venture dependent upon global economic trends

and pricing, and competition from well established and planned mines could undercut expected profits and tax revenues. In addition, mining is inherently unsustainable. One day, a large pile of mine tailings will be left and the mine closed. World Bank studies confirm that most often the benefits of mining accrue to few while the costs are borne by many and overall, extractive industry dependence is associated with economic decline.


The Intag region is blessed with a flow of benefits on the order of $447 million per year. This is sufficient to build a robust economy given advancement in agroecology, markets and the development of local

to international funding mechanisms. Well managed, the resources of the Intag region can provide for sustainable, equitable and prosperous development in the region and nation.


8

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4",1&.-%,)&"


Economies need nature. Water, flood protection, recreation, minerals, materials, aesthetic value, and food are just a few among many services natural systems provide to the human economy. No economy, big or small, can function without nature's provision

of economic goods and services.


Placing a dollar value on nature's work is not commoditizing nature. Rather, it is recognizing value that is often lost if not counted. Nature is invaluable just as the life of a person is invaluable. Yet, people also receive pay for work, and we need to understand the full value of nature's work.


This report provides a comprehensive view of the economic value of Intag's natural systems. It aims to better inform Intag's community, local, regional, and national governments and mining companies of the economic and social impact of copper extraction and the economic value the natural systems provide.

Report Organization


This report should be used as a tool to help the decision-making process of Intag's development strategy, and is organized into five major sections:


Part I: Development in Intag provides an overview of the geographic, historical, and current perspectives on economic development of the region. It also provides an overview of the current legal framework for natural resource management.


Part II: Copper Extraction and Revenue +",#&-%", copper markets, production, and pricing, and explores projected costs and income from copper mining

in Intag. A discussion of regulatory framework and remediation is provided with case study examples.


Part III: Ecosystem Services in Intag reviews the current ecosystem services present in the Intag region.


Part IV: Valuation Analysis of the Intag Region puts ecological economics into action, determining dollar values based on concepts developed in the previous two sections.


Part V: Implications and Recommendations

creates a platform to advance an economics

approach to sustainable development and provides

recommendations based on the results.


An Ecological Study of Ecuador's Intag Region: The Environmental Impacts and Potential Rewards of Mining 9

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Figure 1: Study Area

Study Area: Intag and Manduriacos Region Area: 151,167 hectares


Province: Imbabura



Quito

Capital: Ibarra

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One of 24 provinces in Ecuador


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Country: Ecuador


Capital: Quito Population: 15,007,343

(July 2011 est.)

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=*1, 4


Development in Intag


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Section Summary: This section provides an overview of the geographic, historical, and current perspectives on economic development of the region, and summarizes the current legal framework for natural resource management.


Overview

The Intag region is located in the Andes in the

Imbabura province of northern Ecuador, in the

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confluence of two of the world's 34 most important

biological hotspots: the Tropical Andes hotspot and

the Tumbes-Choc6-Magdalena hotspot.- * Seven

parishes make up the Intag zone, an area totaling

150,000 hectares (ha). Here, approximately 17,000

people live in 76 sparsely scattered rural communities

where small-scale agriculture is the region's economic

base.


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The region has been developing an eco-tourism economy and is home to fair-trade, shade-grown coffee plantations. The region's agriculture is self- sufficient and emerging into export markets. Local handicrafts are also entering new markets.


Geography

At an altitude of 650 to 4,000 meters (m), Intag/

Manduriacos mostly contains cloud forests and

agricultural lands.( Cloud forests make up no more

than 2.5 percent of the world's tropical forests.3

There are two types of mountainous forests in this

area: cloud forests, seasonal forests (moist forests

with deciduous trees).4 Tropical Montane Cloud

Forests are forested areas with frequent cloud and

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mist present. Typically covered with orchids, mosses, and other plants on each branch.3 There are many species found in cloud forests that are not found elsewhere, therefore this ecosystem is known for containing a high incidence of endemic species. Cloud forests are fragile and threatened by climate change, logging and slash-and-burn agriculture.5 Many livelihoods worldwide are dependent on cloud forests, particularly for water supply.


The Esmeraldas watershed covers 20,000 square kilometers along its way to the Pacific Ocean. It is fed by rainwater as well as many tributaries sourced in

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the Andean mountain range. The hydrographic system of the Esmeraldas River is formed by the Blanco, Guayllabamba, Toachi and Quininde rivers.


At the Esmeraldas River's mouth is the port City of Esmeraldas. The City is an important commercial center for the region's agricultural, oil, and lumber sectors. The land in the lower river basin is very fertile; plantains, cacao, coffee, banana, and tobacco are the dominant agricultural practices in this

region. The jungle in the lower and middle river basin provides an important source of lumber for the country. Traditionally, this is an important aspect of the province's economy. The river provides a way


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- To qualify as a hotspot, a region must contain at least 1,500 native species of vascular plants (> 0.5 percent of the world's total), and

it has to have lost at least 70 percent of its original habitat. Collectively, hotspot areas support 44 percent of the world's plants and 35

percent of terrestrial vertebrates in an area that formerly covered only 11.8 percent of the planet's land surface. The habitat extent of

this land area had been reduced by 87.8 percent of its original extent, such that this wealth of biodiversity was restricted to only 1.4

percent of Earth's land surface. www.biodiversityhotspots.org.

of transporting forest products downstream into the city.6 The oil industry represents an important

economic activity for the region as well. Esmeraldas is the site of Ecuador's largest oil refinery with a capacity to process 110,000 barrels per day. It is the terminal

of the Trans-Ecuadorian Pipeline coming from the oil fields in northeastern Ecuador.


History

It is believed that the first settlers arrived in the

Intag region around 150 years ago. Archeological

discoveries, in Intag and the adjacent province of

Pichincha, provide ample evidence of the habitation

of the Yumbos, a pre-Incan people that made their

home in the area's cloud forests.7


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In 1964, agrarian reform promoted the colonization of forestlands in Ecuador. Properties that had 80

percent forest coverage were deemed "unproductive" and could be occupied or expropriated under the reform laws. Colonizers and landowners were forced to deforest 50 percent of their land to prove that the earth was being put to a productive use.8


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In addition to being an area rich in water resources, native forests, orchid and bird diversity, copper deposits were also discovered in the Intag area. In the 1990s, the Japanese company Bishi Metals explored and discovered copper deposits in the Intag's Toisan mountain range in northwest Ecuador. An estimated 318 million metric tons of copper ore, containing

2.26 million tons of pure copper are believed to lie in Intag's biodiverse forests and watersheds.9 The Japanese report reported that the impact to forests would be "massive deforestation" which would contribute to "desertification" to the local

climate. Local communities concerned about large- scale mining began uniting to request international support.*) Organizations including Asociaci6n Agroartesanal de Caficultores Rio Intag (AACRI), Mujer y Medio Ambiente, and Defensa y Conservaci6n Ecol6gica de Intag (DECOIN), are providing an alternative economic model to that of the extractive

model based on copper mining. Bishi Metals gave up the project in 1997 due to local opposition.

These grassroots organizations continued to develop national and international links, mobilize resources, and elaborate on practical proposals for alternatives

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to mining.** Strong community organizing and support from NGOs led to the withdrawal of the company and the sale of the area to a Canadian mining company called Ascendant Copper Corporation.


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In 2004, Ascendant Copper Corporation, now known as Copper Mesa, acquired a full mining concession to resume exploration activities. Their strategy was to raise enough capital to develop mining operations, which would create incentives to persuade local populations to depend on jobs created by the mine.*) But after several petitions from locals and instances of violent confrontations between anti-mining groups and paramilitary forces hired by the corporation, the Ministry of Mines and Petroleum ordered Ascendant to suspend all activities in September 2007.*( Following his election as the president of Ecuador, Rafael Correa cancelled Ascendant's concessions in Intag due to human rights violations.13


In 2010, the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) delisted Copper Mesa for "failure to meet the continued listing requirements of TSX." DECOIN worked for nearly

six years to address the human rights violations by the corporation. Copper Mesa's shares lost around 60 percent of their value within days of the TSX delisting.14


Constitutional Protection for Nature

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Upon taking office, President Correa called for a

constitutional assembly to create a new constitution

for the country. A referendum was held for this

measure on April 15, 2007, and was approved with

just over 80 percent of the vote count. The Ecuadorian

Constituent Assembly was formed through democratic

elections held on September 30, 2007. The Ecuadorian

Constituent Assembly, initially led by Alberto

Acosta of Correa's PAIS Alliance, first convened on


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DECOIN members and supporters at their office in Apuela.


November 29, 2007, with a mandate to write the new constitution in six to eight months.15


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The Constitution of 2008 is Ecuador's 20th constitution since its independence in 1830, and is noteworthy for being the first constitution in modern history to give rights to nature.16 This addition changed the legal status of nature from simply being property to being a rights-bearing entity in the

sense that humans are, and essentially provides a framework for sustainable development.17 The new constitution places Ecuador on the forefront of both international law and sustainable development.


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The "Rights of Nature" section of the constitution begins with Article 71, stating: "Nature, or Pachamama, where life is reproduced and exists, has the right to exist, persist, maintain and regenerate its vital cycles, structure, functions and its processes in evolution."18 There will be challenges to enforce the law, as well as contradictory laws, such as the mining law, but it is still important that it exists.


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In addition to the rights of nature, the entire section on rights in Article II of the Constitution is noteworthy for its thoroughness. The discussion is driven by

an important, sophisticated concept: Buen Vivir (in Spanish) or Sumak Kawsay (in Kichwa), variously translated as "Good Living" or "Living in Harmony."

Water Law

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In Ecuador, as in most Latin American countries, water

is a national good for public use, with some exceptions

made for certain indigenous communities with

ancestral rights. The institutional structure pertaining

to water resources is complex, and includes a number

of institutions, regulations, and jurisdictions. In a

recent study, a prominent environmental lawyer

identified 25 laws and regulations as having direct

relevance and 11 institutions as having direct or

indirect jurisdiction over water resources.19 The

Water Law of 1972 is currently the primary legislation

governing water rights in Ecuador. Article 36

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establishes a hierarchy of uses in which the highest

priority is provisioning for communities and wells;

followed by agricultural and cattle grazing practices;

and finally energy, industry, mining and other uses.


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Since the approval of the 1972 water law, there have been a number of conflicts in defense of indigenous water rights. Because of this, one aim of the 2008 Constitution was to provide greater autonomy and legitimization to public and collective community water management, and to depart from neoliberal policies, which attempted to privatize water. The 2008 Constitution essentially recognizes water as a public good to be managed, for the most part, by the state and local community groups. Significantly, water rights are also given to nature. This was in recognition that natural systems are of intrinsic and economic value and require water to function. Water laws based on the 2008 Constitution will be expected to redistribute water rights more fairly and to meet critical social needs. However, at the time of this writing, the new water law is still being debated.


Mining Law

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Ecuador is the only Andean Nation free of large-scale

metallic mining. Exploration by large multinationals

in Ecuador did not begin in earnest until the early

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2000s, after a mining law was passed in 2000

that encouraged foreign corporations to explore

for minerals.() However, most mining activities

were suspended in April 2008 when the National

Constituent Assembly passed a mining decree that ordered the Ministry of Nonrenewable Natural Resources to revoke most mineral concessions for reasons such as failure to pay yearly fees to conserve their concessions, or because the concessions overlapped with protected natural areas or impacted sources of water. It is estimated that approximately half of Ecuador's peasant communities, specifically in rural areas, had been affected by mining concessions as of 2008.*) Current figures suggest that: "according to the Ministry of Energy and Mines, there are 1,990 registered mining concessions in the country, causing serious concerns among civil society, particularly campesinos and indigenous people."(* The mining decree also gave the government 180 days to

rewrite Ecuador's mining law.(( In January 2009, the Ecuadorian National Assembly passed a new mining law, which allowed a number of mining corporations to resume or begin operations.()


As a part of the mining law, the Mining Control and Regulation Agency is in charge of ensuring all

interested rights are met. As an institution of public rights they are allowed to supervise all mining actions and, if required, adopt administrative actions to safeguard the rightful exploitation, as well as social and environmental obligations appointed by law. Article 87 in the mining law states the rights

to information, participation, and consultation. The state government is responsible for executing all social participation and consultation processes using public institutions that correspond according to the constitutional rights and the effective norms. These actions have the objective to promote sustainable management within the mining activity, rationalizing the exploitation of the resource and maintaining

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the communities' interest and support. In cases where the majority of the community is opposed to such mining activities, the Sectorial Ministry will handle the development decision. All mining

investors must respect the right to the communities' information, participation, and consultation regarding environmental management of all mining activities.

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Indigenous and non-indigenous groups alike remain divided as to whether the new mining laws will result in net positive impacts for the people and natural environment of Ecuador.(( On December 31, 2009, Ecuador's first state mining company (ENAMI EP) was created by executive decree.


Economic Development Options


The Extractive Industry

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Ecuadorian oil production peaked in 2006 and

has since been declining.23 With high-quality oil

reserves depleted, the Correa Administration began

considering mining for metals as a substantial source

for future state revenues. By 2007, the Ecuadorian

Ministry of Energy and Mines had granted licenses for

over 4,000 new mines.24


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Economic Arguments For and Against Mining Mining was historically a crucial part of national development in many of today's wealthiest nations, and many believe that it can become an equally important sector in developing countries. Major arguments used to advocate for mining projects focus on economic development, including the following:


industries such as agriculture) is highly correlated with corruption.41 A study corroborates and extends these results: non-fuel minerals (such as copper) in particular have anti-democratic effects on nations.37


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Table 3: Summary of Social Arguments For and Against Mining


Social Arguments (for mining)

Social Arguments (against mining)

›

Job creation

›


›


›


›


›

Increased poverty Increased disease Rising inflation Relocation

Domestic unrest and corruption


Alternative Development Vision

Over the years, the Intag community has put a great

deal of effort into developing economic alternatives

in order to move forward collectively in a sustainable

manner. Many groups have been established to

create forums of democratic, grassroots decision-

making based on their vision for the region. In 1996,

the county of Cotacachi elected Auki Tituana as the

new mayor. Under Tituana's policy, civil society in

Intag and the rest of the County of Cotacachi was able

to push through the Cotacachi Ecological Ordinance,

which declared Cotacachi an "ecological county."42

The following is a preliminary accounting of some of

the economic activities currently taking place as well

as some potential ideas for future activities. These

counteract arguments proposing the economic need

for extractive industries. It should be noted that there

are environmental costs of these activities as well, and

those costs should be considered by the community.

Subsistence Agriculture

Intag is a very steep, mountainous area where half

the land has already been converted to small- and

medium-sized farms. Approximately 90 percent of

the population owns land that is farmed, indicating

a heavy reliance on subsistence agriculture. Farm

sizes range from 1 to 50 hectares with an average

of eight hectares per family. The most rapid route

to economic progress for the vast majority of Intag

residents would be to raise real incomes by raising

existing farm incomes.


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A study completed in 2006 estimated the value of various production alternatives on a hectare of land (specifically in the Rio Cristopamba Valley). The study provided an interesting analysis of typical farms. Values obtained were based on the assumption that the crops listed below are primary, with additional products (such as those mentioned in the preceding paragraph) being mixed in and being used by the family.

Values (per year) are as follows:

evaluated. Values ranged from $133 per ha for beef

cattle, $230 per ha for milk production, and $585 per

ha for female pigs.43

Other estimates for sugar cane (obtained through personal communications) range from $1,500 per hectare per year to $3,500 per hectare per year for cane that is transformed into panela, or alcohol. Miel de panela is also used and sold.

Livestock is an essential part of the local economy. Pigs, chickens, cows, and some guinea pigs are used

by families and/or sold in markets. Approximately 50 percent of the cattle are used regionally for milk and meat for families. The other 50 percent are sold in domestic markets. The heads of cattle that are sold, are sold in local markets for $300 to $400 a head, with an estimated two to three cows sold per year. Many families sell their surplus milk to a local milk cooperative (CORPIL) that processes the milk before it is transported to Quito. Approximately 2,500 liters of milk are gathered by three small trucks each day. Each farm supplies between 5 and 150 liters per day and is paid $0.24 per liter (depending on the milk price at the time). In one day, $600 worth of milk is picked up, translating to $3,000 in one week alone.

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Milk from the Intag zone is considered to be of higher quality due to the environmental conditions as well as the specific animal genetics.


Coffee Production

Coffee is an important global commodity; it is, in fact,

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the second most traded outside of oil. In Ecuador,

a total of 150,000 families survive on income from

coffee production. It is a $60 million per year

economic enterprise and contributes significantly to

the GDP.


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AACRI (Asociaci6n Agroartesanal de Caficultores Rio Intag) was started in 1998 with 18 participants. Currently, 400 families are part of the coffee co-op,

cultivating the arabic shade-grown coffee organically. By establishing a co-op, decisions can be made locally and higher prices can be obtained for the coffee. Co- op members are paid $170 per hundred pounds for high-quality coffee and $150 per hundred pounds for lower quality coffee. In 2010, approximately 180,000 were processed and roasted in Intag to be sold in markets in the region as well as Otavalo and Quito. Another 40,000 pounds were exported.


Crafts

Mujer y Medio Ambiente has existed for 17 years in

the Santa Rosa and Plaza Gutierrez area. Currently,

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43 women are part of the group and sell products handmade from locally harvested cabuya (sisal). Women reinvest in the group, decisions are made collectively, and 5 percent of each sale goes back into the group. Gross sales for 2006 were $22,661 with

a total net of $19,271 (after subtracting 15 percent for materials). Thus, each woman earned on average

$448 a year (depending on the number of items individually produced), with some women earning as much as $1,500.


Coordinadora de Mujeres de Intag has been in existence since 2002. Approximately 150 women from the entire region are part of the group, which focuses on gender inequality, domestic violence, participates in the Asamblea Cantonal (County Assembly), and develops alternative sustainable economic enterprises for the region. The group sells natural soaps, hats, bags, wallets, belts, and more-all handmade using locally grown cabuya. The products are locally sold in Intag, at a fair trade store in Otavalo and nationally.


Ecotourism

As described earlier, ecotourism is an enterprise that

is currently underway in Intag and has the potential

for far greater growth and development value. Some

of the activities visitors partake in throughout the

region include hot baths, birding, rafting, biking,

hiking, and generally enjoying natural areas and the

local culture. In addition, Intag is increasingly an

education center for international students on study

abroad programs, which brings foreign exchange into

the country. The following table indicates the number

of attractions in the region:

Table 4: Current Tourist Attractions



Community

Number of natural attractions

Number of cultural attractions

Apuela

8

3

Cuellaje

6

4

Garcia Moreno

13

5

Peñaherrera

9

6

Plaza Guitierrez

5

3

Vacas Galindo

3

1

Total

44

22


The thermal pools and cabanas at Nangulvi are some of the most popular attractions in the region.

Nangulvi has three cabanas with a capacity of 18 people and 5 pools. In 2005, from April to December, 776 people stayed overnight at Nangulvi while in 2006, from January to December, 1,169 people stayed overnight. Approximately, 69 percent of the visitors are Ecuadorian and 31 percent are foreigners. For the pools, 8,968 children and 14,173 adults were users

in 2005. In 2006, 7,318 children used the pools, and 12,847 adults.44


The ecotourism complex in Junin (3,000 hectares) can receive 24 people in cabanas and has a small restaurant. From August 2003 to January 2007, 486 guests registered, with an average stay of 2.8 days.

Visitor numbers have increased on average 34 percent every year.44


Some of the reserves offer accommodations. Reserva Los Cedros (6,000 hectares) estimated a total of 300 visitors in 2005 and 700 in 2006-most visitors were on study/research trips.44 Reserva La Florida (500 hectares) also hosts groups of people and estimates an annual visitation rate of 150 visitors. Other reserves include Siempre Verde (500 hectares) and Alto Choco (3,000 hectares).


Gualiman is a cultural site housing four burial mounds

and 66 smaller ones. A small museum is located on the site and accommodations for small groups are available. It is unknown how many guests visit the site per year.


Hydropower

El Consorcio Toisan, an umbrella organization

composed of several grassroots organizations, started

in 2006 with the objective of supporting sustainable

productive activities in the Intag region. Currently,

the consortium is developing a proposal, HidroIntag,

to generate 10 micro-hydro dams in the Intag region.

These dams could generate electrical power valued at

$30 million per year and would allow the Intag region

to be 100 percent energy self-sufficient, with excess

power being sold back to the grid. This project has the

potential not only to inject money into cash starved

public programs but also to provide indirect payments

for local ecosystem services. For this hydro project to

have long-term success, it will be crucial to maintain

the security of the watershed, to ensure a strong and

consistent flow in the rivers. To achieve this end, the

surrounding forest must be conserved.


Scientific Research

The Tropical Andes is considered the richest biological

hotspot in the world with approximately 15-17

percent of the Earth's plant species and nearly 20

percent of its bird diversity (more than 1,700).45 A

four-square-mile area of rainforest may contain as

many as 1,500 different types of flowering plants

and 750 species of trees, all of which have evolved

specialized survival mechanisms over the millennia

that mankind is just starting to learn about.46


Commercial interest in biodiversity is becoming more common, not only in the pharmacology and personal care product field, but also in the emerging field of biomimicry. Daily, plant, animal, and insect species are becoming extinct due to rainforest deforestation. As the species disappear, so do many possible cures for life-threatening diseases and today's most difficult problems.

Pharmaceuticals

In 1983, there were no U.S. pharmaceutical

manufacturers involved in research programs to

discover new drugs or cures from plants. Today, over

100 pharmaceutical companies and several branches

of the U.S. government, including the National Cancer

Institute, are engaged in plant research projects

for possible drugs and cures for viruses, infections,

cancer, and AIDS. Merck & Co. made a $1 million

dollar deal with Coast Rica's National Institute of

Biodiversity to screen plants, insects, and micro-

organisms for medicinal compounds. G.D. Searle &

Co. and Pfizer have similar arrangements with U.S.

botanical gardens.47


image

According to the U.S. National Cancer Institute, more than two-thirds of all medicines found to have cancer- fighting properties come from rainforest plants.48 Ingredients synthesized from a now-extinct periwinkle plant once found only in Madagascar have increased the chances of survival for children with leukemia from 20 to 80 percent.48


Personal Care Products

Many companies are turning to rainforests for help

innovating personal care products ranging from soaps

to perfumes. The agave plant is now valued for hair

care products. New fragrances and scents are being

developed from orchid species.


Biomimicry

Biomimicry is the science and art of emulating

nature's biological ideas to solve human problems.

For example, carbon-sequestering cement mimics

corals and energy-efficient wind turbines mimic

schooling fish. The rainforest offers scientists and

engineers countless opportunities to explore and

innovate. Business entrepreneurs are rapidly turning

to nature to solve sustainability and health problems.

The use of indigenous resources such as plants,

animals, and knowledge should be done with respect

and informed consent of indigenous people.

Another example of biomimicry is a self-cleaning fabric innovation developed after studying butterflies. Engineers observed that nano-scale surface structures on butterfly wings repel water and most dirt and

also cause dirt particles to be carried away by water. Schoeller Technologies AG of Switzerland is now marketing NanoSphere®, a fabric treatment that is self-cleaning, dirt- and water-repellent, and abrasion- resistant. Less washing and abrasion reduce use of natural resources and harmful chemical cleaners.49


Choosing Between Development Alternatives

Ecosystems are increasingly more valuable. Just as

the value of metals increase as they become scarcer,

so do ecosystems and their services and products.

In the face of climate change and the declining

number of intact healthy ecosystems, the remaining

ecosystems, such as Intag, will increasingly be more

valuable.

Cost/Benefit Analysis

A cost/benefit analysis is an economic decision-

making process that adds up the benefits of a public

policy and compares those benefits to the costs.50

But how do we assess value for something that is

priceless, such as breathable air? Consider the value

of one ecosystem service, photosynthesis, and the

ecosystem benefit it produces, atmospheric oxygen.

This indicates that the value of photosynthesis and

atmospheric oxygen to people exceeds the value of

the gross world product-and oxygen production

is only a single ecosystem service and good. Having

breathable air means we stay alive.


Frank Ackerman and Lisa Heinzerling's book, Priceless:

On Knowing the Price of Everything and the Value of Nothing, reviews the economic method of cost/ benefit analysis. They argue that things that are priceless, such as human life, are given a monetary

value to determine whether endangering activities are prudent and/or have the right to occur. Unfortunately,

the costs and benefits of an action (or inaction) are often calculated using methodologies which can

be manipulated to justify decisions based on the analyst's preference.


An example of this can be found in the United States' Office of Management and Budget's 2002 estimate that the value of protecting 60 million acres of forest land was a mere $219,000 per year. However, by

only calculating the cost saved from not building or maintaining roads in the area, environmental

benefits of the forest ecosystem and the value they provide to the local, national, and global economy in the form of ecosystem services were completely ignored. In terms of cost, the study asserted that

preserving the land prevented society from realizing

$184 million in economic activity the forest could

provide if developed.51 This study also disregarded the

future values society might derive from the forest's

existence, such as clean water, recreation, flood

protection, and local climate stability. Given such

manipulated estimates, government protection of

the land was argued ineffective from a cost/benefit

standpoint and regulations that were created to

ensure long-term sustainability were discounted and

debated as inefficient protectionism by free-market

advocates.

Consider applying historical injustices in the current-

day free market: In the absence of regulation and laws restricting certain activities, we would allow slavery, child labor, and toxic pollution. Seemingly, "anything profitable that is not prohibited by law is likely to occur" in a free market scenario.51


What is the Value of Life?

A literature review concluded that $5 million-6

million is a range for the value of a human life (1999

dollar values) used by the US Federal Government.51

Using a Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALY) model

common to health economics, this value is

discounted for the poor, disabled, and elderly. This

methodology raises a key question: Do disabled or

elderly people value their lives less than healthier or

younger people? This approach to valuing life would

be morally reprehensible to many, yet this kind of

justification is precisely what is used in cost/benefit

calculations that include social impacts and human

health.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released an infamous life-evaluation report in 1995 that provided values for economists to use

when calculating individual lives affected by climate change. To arrive at these values, the report used the economic value produced by the countries in

which people lived as the determining factor. Thus, a person's life in a rich country was worth $1.5 million,


Figure 2: Illustration of the difference between price and value.


image

Source: Nina Paley, Mimi and Eunice

while a person's life in a poor country was $100,000. Due to the outrage that ensued when this report was released, IPCC revised its figures to $1 million per person, regardless of where they lived in 2001.51 Although the IPCC's figures were revised, this case is illustrative of the methods economists often employ

to assign value to things (in this case people) that are priceless.


Ecological Economic Analysis

It is commonly accepted that natural resource

depletion is on an unsustainable trajectory. Around

the globe there are critical shortages of natural

resources, yet the destruction of ecosystems

continues, impacting biodiversity and amplifying

the effects of climate change.52 Despite decades of

widespread scientific documentation and concern

about natural resource depletion, the trends continue

to worsen.53 Why are we unable to respond to this

critical information?

One major reason is that our dominant economic

systems value and promote unlimited growth in a

finite world, and are blind to critical boundaries and

shortages of nature's goods and services (natural

capital). Current economic doctrine places natural

systems as a subset of the economy. That subset is

valued only as a source of raw materials for man-

made goods and services and is used as an infinite

sink for pollution and used products.


Common sense tells us that the whole economy is absolutely dependent on nature's goods and services (imagine life without fresh water, oxygen, and topsoil), yet often no economic value (beyond extractive value) is placed on nature under common economic analysis. Consequently, conventional economic decision- making is blind to costs occurring when natural systems are damaged, and cannot justify spending money to protect, improve, or repair natural capital until after ecological collapse generates economic catastrophe.


Fortunately, there has been progress. The recent United Nations TEEB report (The Economics of

Ecosystems and Biodiversity) highlighted the value of natural assets, and the World Bank has announced a partnership to develop methods and guidelines for integrating the value that ecosystems provide with national accounts.54 55


Ecological economics is generating new measures and analyses to address the increasing scarcity of natural capital and rising population demands. Appendix A provides background on ecological economics to help elucidate the increasing importance and applications of science-based economic analysis to human well- being, sustainability, and economic progress. The ecological economic framework looks at ecological structure and processes that make up the functions of an ecosystem, and illuminates the role that they play in local, regional, national, and global economies.


Applying the Best Science and Economics

Methodologies for valuing ecosystems services

have advanced rapidly. Section 4 of this report can

be used to bolster traditional cost/benefit analysis

or to inform a multi-criteria analysis for projects

and polices in the Intag region. Many countries

and regional governments are exploring ways to

incorporate the value of ecosystem services into land

use and planning decisions. In 2010, the Peruvian

congress passed a law requiring environmental

impact statements (EIS) for all development projects

to include ecosystem service valuation. This bold step

helps ensure the sustainable growth of the Peruvian

economy in a world of diminishing natural resources.

Indeed, those countries that balance investments in

built, natural, human, and social capital will be in the

best position to have thriving economies and healthy

populations in the 21,. century.

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=*1, 44


Copper Extraction and Revenue


image

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Section Summary: According to the exploration carried out by Bishi Metals in the 1990s, there could be as much as 318 million metric tons of copper ore in the area of Junin, equivalent to 2.26 million tons of pure copper. The uncertain aspect of the deposit is due to the fact that not enough exploration was carried out to confirm the deposit. This section describes copper markets, production and pricing and explores projected costs and income from copper mining in lntag. A discussion of regulatory framework and remediation is provided with case study examples.


9%66/&

"Copper is one of the metals that has been in

use longest. It has been an important material

in the development of civilization because of its

high ductility, malleability, thermal and electrical

conductivity, and resistance to corrosion. Copper has

become a major industrial metal, ranking third in

quantity after steel and aluminum."56


Common uses of copper include building construction (wire, cable, plumbing and gas tubing, roofing, and climate control systems), aircraft parts (undercarriage components, display unit components, and helicopter motor spindles), automotive parts (wire, starter motor, bearings, gears, and valve guides), industrial applications and machinery (tools, gears, bearings, and turbine blades), furniture, coins, crafts, clothing, jewelry, artwork, musical instruments, cookware, and more.


Once extracted, copper goes through industrial processes before being utilized in consumer products. Copper is contained in ores that must be extracted mechanically, most often in an open pit. This capital- intensive process implies the removal of huge volumes of soil that have to be crushed and concentrated. To extract the copper from the ore, an energy intensive

process is needed. Copper smelting is mostly done with pyrometallurgical techniques that can produce significant air emissions of sulphur oxides, arsenic, or other pollutants.


World Copper Production

Among copper producers, Chile has a dominant

market position, at approximately one-third of world

copper mine production. The next largest producers,

the United States and Peru, trail substantially, at

nine percent and eight percent respectively.57 It is

worth noting that according to a Japanese study in

1998, there is an estimated possible reserve of 318

million metric tons of copper ore in Intag at a .71

percent copper grade, equivalent to 2.26 million tons

of the pure metal.ii 9 In 2010, the world consumed

approximately 19 million tons of copper.58 A typical

deposit of this size could take anywhere from 10 to

20 years to fully exploit depending on the rate of

extraction and processing of the ore.


image

-- The Japanese company, Bishi Metals (now Mitsubishi Materials Corporation) discovered copper deposits in the Intag region in the 1990s. A team, organized by the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) and the Metal Mining Agency of Japan, completed the environmental impact statement in 1996, with an updated version released in 1998.

Figure 3: Worldwide Copper Production in 2008 (metric tons) :;



Chile (5,330,300)


United States (1,310,000)


image

image

Summary of Internal Costs

Opening of the mine

Extraction

Transport

Treatment

Copper production costs, net of by-product credits per lb of copper

Off-property costs for transport, treatment (smelting and refining), and sales per lb of copper

Total cash costs of production per lb of copper

Australia (886,000)


35%


9%


6%


6%


8%


36%

China (960,000)


image

image

Peru (1,267,867)


All Others (5,605,112)


Summary of Externalized Costs

Surface water pollution

Volatile waste creation

Costs of using police and public security forces

Potential groundwater contamination

Impact on fish, shellfish, and agricultural production

High cost of remediation

Adverse relationship to genuine progress

Dependency on mineral prices

Widespread deforestation

Energy Needs

Copper Extraction

Open pit copper mining is an extremely capital and

time intensive investment. Describing the detail and

complexity of the copper industry is beyond the

scope of this report, but the basic phases of mining

are as follows: (1) Prospecting; (2) Exploration; (3)

Exploitation; and (4) Reclamation. Figure 4 provides a

image

detailed snapshot of the copper mining process.

image

Note that there are only 124 copper smelters in the world, ten of which are in South America, and none in Ecuador.59 Returns on copper mining investments are significantly lower when off-property costs are calculated.


Figure 4. Copper Processing 60



Gyratory Crusher

Coarse Ore


Secondary Cone Crusher

H(O

Tertiary Cone Crusher


Thickeners


Screens


Cyclones


Stacker Heap Leach Piles


Oxide Sulphide


Advance Electolyte


Tailing Pond


Flotation

Concentrate

Pregnant

Solution

Pond

Solvent Extraction


Electrowinning Cells


Concentrate


Copper Cathode

Copper Production Costs

Copper production costs vary in each mine location.

For example, operating statistics from the Gibraltar

copper mine in British Columbia, Canada, for the years

2010 and 2008 show that the cost of production and

off-property costs (transport, treatment, and sales)

came out to be $1.78 per pound of copper in 2010

and $2.30 per pound of copper in 2008.61 These cash

costs of production figures are a non-GAAP measure

that do not take externalities into account.---


Copper Price Volatility

Copper prices are renowned for boom and bust cycles

dependent on global economic growth, which drives

demand, and global production output, which drives

supply. When prices are high, many proposed mines

are developed independently with the expectation

of high prices. Yet as new mines come online the

increased supply drives prices down, sometimes

precipitously, and some new mines quickly go

bankrupt. This partially accounts for the frequent and

often severe dips in copper prices since 2001.


The London Metal Exchange (LME) is the world's premier market for non-ferrous metals. It offers a range of futures and options contracts, which allow traders to try to secure costs for materials months and years in advance. "The prices 'discovered' at the LME are recognized and relied upon by industries throughout the world."62 Figure 5 shows real copper prices since 1870. Figure 6 shows global prices of copper since 1995. Starting in 1999, the price of

copper increased significantly due, in large part, to the increased demand in Asia.


image

Native Copper


image

---

GAAP is defined as Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.

Figure 5: Real Prices for Copper, 1870-1997 63


image

3.0


2.5


US$ per pound

2.0


1.5


1.0


0.5


1890

1910

0.0


1870


1930

1950 1970 1990


image

Figure 6: Copper Prices since 1995 87


4.5

4.0


3.5


US$ per pound

3.0


2.5


2.0


1.5

1.0


0.5


0.0


1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006


image

Selling Copper

The best way to explain what it takes to produce

copper is to look to those who do it. QuadraFNX is

a Canadian mining company involved in producing

copper around the world. They explain how the

copper they produce in the Robinson open-pit mine in

the U.S. state of Nevada is sold.


image

Running a successful mine requires significant working capital. Figure 7 illustrates the time period between mine concentrate production and final settlement payments.


Copper is sold by mining companies in two ways, concentrate sales (impure copper powder) and cathode metal sales (pure copper) depending on the type of ore deposit processed. Concentrate producers sell a concentrate powder containing 24-40 percent copper metal content to a smelter and refiner. The concentrate is sold using a formula that is unique to each smelter but general terms are as follows:


The smelter pays the producer about 96 percent of the metal value based on metal content contained in the concentrate and based on a future average price know as the quotational price less the treatment charges ("Tcs") and refining charges ("Rcs"). Historically the smelters and refiners have participated in price upside via an arrangement known as "price participation" in which the smelters and refiners share in 10 percent of the value of the copper above a certain threshold, historically approximately 90 cents per pound of payable copper metal. Currently, price participation terms are not included in most smelter sales contracts. Tcs are charged on a $ per tonne of concentrate treated and Rcs on a $ per pound of metal refined. The charges fluctuate with the market but are often fixed on an annual basis. By-product metals such as gold and silver have separate refining charges. ln addition, the smelters and refiners require concentrate specifications that limit the amount of impurities allowable in the concentrate (an example would be the amount of allowable arsenic) and these limits vary from smelter to smelter. lf the concentrate producer does not meet these specifications financial penalties are levied. Normally third party assayers take samples of the concentrate during the shipping of concentrate to a smelter and determine the level of payable metal, moisture and impurities in the concentrate. lf there are disagreements between the concentrate producer and the smelter as to the assay results they are usually settled by a third party umpire.


The Robinson Mine produces a copper concentrate that contains approximately 25 percent copper, as well as gold. The concentrate is shipped to smelters in Asia where the material is processed to recover the nearly pure metallic copper and gold.

Figure 7: The Timing of the Quotation Pricing Between the Concentrate Producer and the Smelter and Refiner. 64


image

image


Quadra transports the concentrate material (via truck and train) to the port in Vancouver, Washington

where it is loaded onto ships that deliver the product to smelters in Asia. The customer takes legal title to the

concentrate when it is loaded on a ship, and Quadra recognizes revenue at this time. However, it takes several

months from this point before final saleable copper can be produced by the smelter and final settlement of

the price is made.


Smelters generally act as a 'toll' business and do not want to risk their profit margin on a changing copper price. As a result, the concentrate market has evolved so that the concentrate producers (the mines) assume this price risk. ln Quadra's case, the final price of the copper concentrates is not determined until approximately 3-4 months after the product has been delivered to the customer at the port.


For accounting purposes, the revenue is recognized at the time of delivery based on the LME quoted copper prices at that time (the "provisional price"). At each quarter-end, this provisionally priced copper is revalued based on the quarter-end forward copper price for the expected date of final settlement and this accounting revaluation creates "provisional price adjustments".


ln terms of cashflow, Quadra receives an initial payment at the time the product is loaded onto a ship at the port. This initial "provisional payment" is calculated based on 90 percent of the estimated contained metal

in the concentrate, using the LME quoted copper price at the time of delivery. After the final pricing has been established (3-4 months after initial delivery) a final invoice is issued and the initial provisional payment is adjusted for the final copper price. ln the case of a significant price decline, Quadra would have to refund the customer a portion of the initial provisional payment. 64

The following table shows cash flows and revenues from the sale of copper on a shipment in September 2008 from the Port of Vancouver, Canada to a port in China.


Table 5: Cash Flows and Revenues from the Sale of Copper on a Shipment 64


Date

Activity

Revenues

Cash flow

Sept. 2008

Concentrate material is produced at Robinson and shipped by truck/rail to the Port of Vancouver, Washington.

-

-

Oct. 22, 2008

Ship leaves Port of Vancouver, Washington, with 10,000 dry tons of copper concentrate (containing 26.8% copper, assuming no gold by-product).

Customer takes legal title and makes initial payment based on current copper price of $2.40/lb.

+ $12.4 M

+ $11.1 M

Nov. 15, 2008

Ship arrives at customer's port in China.

-

-

Dec. 31, 2008

Receivables are revalued for accounting purposes based on quarter-end copper price of $1.32/lb.

- $5.6 M

-

March 2009

Final invoice is prepared based on average metal copper price during Feb. 2009 (3 months after month of arrival) of $1.50/lb copper among with final weights and assays. Final invoice was calculated at $12 million.

+ $0.9 M

- $3.4 M

TOTALS =

$7.7M

$7.7M

Economic Estimates of Junin's Mineral Deposit

The royalties will be based as a percentage of

sales of primary and secondary materials and will

be paid twice a year. Article 93 of the Ecuadorian

Mining Law states that mining concessionaries will

have to pay royalties of no less than five percent of

sales revenue. In addition to this payment, mining

concessionaries are subject to four national taxes:

25 percent for income tax, 12 percent tax on profits,

12 percent for value added tax, and 70 percent tax

for windfall gains.65 However, at the time of writing,

the government has not yet made clear the taxation

formula it will use, and it could make considerable

changes to the taxation regime described above.


Without a written contract between the mining company and the Ecuadorian government, final profit calculations generated from the copper mine in Intag are not possible. The National Mining Plan of Ecuador estimates that the Junin mine in Intag could generate

$85 billion. However, the mining plan provides no specifics of how this estimate was calculated.


Resources estimate the mineral concentration in the ground. Reserves tell us how much ore may be economically and legally recoverable. How much ore is ultimately recovered as mining takes place is dependent upon the actual geology, slope

stability, hydrology, weather, quality of engineering, overburden ratio, global economic growth, metal prices, content of associated minerals, the regulatory regime, level of corruption in both private and public institutions, social acceptability in the community, remediation, accident frequency and size, and other aspects.


In the past, over-reporting of mineral reserve estimates was a problem in the mining sector during the exploration phase of some mines. For example,

the Bre-X Minerals Ltd. scandal, fraudulently over- estimated gold reserves in Indonesia and became one of Canada's greatest stock collapses. As a result, Canada and other countries instituted new rules such as NI 43-101 relating to mineral resources

and reporting thereof that standardized and legally codified the process.


Resources

National Instrument 43-101 (or NI 43-101) is a

Canadian codified set of rules and guidelines for

reporting information related to mineral properties.

It requires that companies traded on the Canadian

stock exchange provide technical report information

from an independent source on mineral resources. A

NI 43-101 compliant inferred resource was verified in

2003 by Micon International of 1.36 billion tonnes at

.73 percent Cu, 0.03 percent Mo, 1.6g/t Ag and .01g/t

Au or 0.98 percent copper equivalent at 0.2 percent

copper cut-off.iv


Mineral resources and reserves are different. The US Geological Survey defines mineral resources as "a concentration of naturally occurring solid, liquid, or gaseous materials in or on the Earth's crust in such form that economic extraction of a

commodity is regarded as feasible, either currently or at some future time." Also resource estimates calculate both concentration and tonnes (quality and quantity). Mineral reserves are defined as "that

portion of an identified resource from which a usable mineral commodity can be economically and legally extracted."


There are three definitions based on different levels of uncertainty given to potential economically viable identified mineral resources: inferred, indicated and measured.


Inferred: Materials in identified but unexplored deposits whose quality and quantity have been


image

  1. See Appendix E for additional information of the inferred resources presented by Micon International and the concerns of validity.

    estimated from geologic projections.


    Indicated: Materials whose quality and quantity have been estimated partly from analyses and measurements and partly from reasonable geologic inferences.


    Measured: Materials whose quality and quantity have been determined, within a margin of error of less than 20 percent, by quantitative data, including appropriate analyses, from closely spaced and geologically well- known sample sites.


    The concession now belongs to Enami EP (the Ecuadorian state mining company). In 2009, Enami EP signed a four-year agreement with CODELCO, a Chilean mining company, which allows CODELCO to explore mining concessions in Ecuador.67


    Table 6: Junin Preliminary Revenue Estimates


    Summary Scoping Level Economic Estimate (+/- 30%)

    Estimated CAPEX

    $1,573,552,691.83

    Estimated OPEX

    $6.96 USD per tonne of ore

    Pre Tax NPV @ 8% Discount rate

    $21,735,218,408.39

    Assuming 5% Royalties


    $1,086,760,920.42

    Assuming 30% Net Tax


    $6,520,565,522.52

    Economic Estimate for Ecuadorian Government

    $7,607,326,442.94


    CAPEX: Capital Expenditures OPEX: Operational Expenditures NPV: Net Present Value

    Open-Pit Mine Remediation and Compliance

    In Intag, an open-pit copper mine is proposed. To

    mine the ore, it will be necessary to excavate, and

    relocate large quantities of topsoil, waste rock, and

    ore. For every ton of rock and soil, a typical copper

    mine produces 3-4 pounds of copper, five ounces

    of zinc, three ounces of lead, and two ounces of

    arsenic.30 In addition, the overburden, or rock, sand

    and soil, expands in volume significantly, thus there is

    a far larger volume of material to dispose of than mine

    pit space. This changes the topography and flow of

    both surface and ground water (virtually all open pit

    mines extend into groundwater resources). Since the

    main objective in any commercial mining operation

    is to maximize profits by the removal of the mineral

    deposit at the lowest possible cost, the selection of

    physical design parameters and the scheduling of the

    ore and waste extraction require complex geologic

    engineering, as well as logistical, environmental, and

    economic planning.


    In Ecuador, mining concessionaries have to pay an annual reclamation fee to conserve their mining concessions. For the initial exploration phase, the annual fee is set at 2.5 percent of the legal monthly minimum wage per hectare (equivalent to $6.50 as of this writing). The fee doubles for the advanced exploration phase, and doubles again for the exploitation phase.68


    Site restoration, also known as reclamation, is critical to alleviate or mitigate potential long-term impacts of mining, including those described in Part 1 of

    this report: surface and ground water pollution; management of toxic runoff and waste, including acid mine drainage; impact on fish and shellfish; and, most importantly, avoidance of ecological disaster.


    Remediation costs vary dramatically. They are far lower in an arid desert such as the Atacama of Chile, than in steeply sloped, high rainfall tropical cloud forests. If there is no provision in the mining law to

    require the mining company to pay for the cleanup, there is the risk for the taxpayers to carry the burden of remediation costs.


    The cost of environmental protection, for both producers and government, can be significantly decreased by proactively incorporating it into initial planning and design, rather than performing remedial measures to compensate for design deficiencies. When issues are addressed on an ad hoc basis as problems develop or enforcement actions occur,

    costs rise sharply. There are numerous examples of the costs associated with environmental damage once a site is closed and, in many cases, the producer exhausts the remediation funds or even files for bankruptcy to avoid further costs to the parent company. When this happens, local governments

    must shoulder the costs of dealing with the wasteland and local people suffer the health and environmental impacts. This becomes a liability for the national economy. In Peru, an estimated $77.5 million is needed to deal with mining's environmental legacies and remediation costs from the preliminary list of the most critical sites. Many specialists and government officials have even said this figure is unrealistically low.69


    Table 7: Examples of Remediation Costs


    Location

    Primary Mine Type

    Clean-up Costs


    Papua New Guinea


    Open-pit copper

    Settlement agreement of approximately $350 million dollars for the OK TEDI mine.70


    Montana


    Open-pit copper

    Estimated $400 to $500 million for one mine site.71


    Utah


    Open-pit copper

    Paid the state $9 million to replace sources of contaminated water in the primary aquifer. State costs were $28 million for building a water treatment plant (operational costs not included).71


    Arizona


    Open-pit copper

    Potential unfunded environmental liability between $73 and $292 million.72

    image


    36


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    )3 * 3<6%)63 &0 9-;;)"(F)1. 0&-". )" 4",*(23

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    Ecosystem Services in Intag


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    Section Summary: Ecosystem services can be divided into four categories: Regulating, Habitat, Provisioning, and lnformation Services. This section reviews local perspectives on ecosystem services and provides specific examples of ecosystem services in lntag.


    Categories of Ecosystem Services

    The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment classifies

    ecosystem services into four broad categories, which

    describe their ecological role. Under this framework,

    both goods and services are referred to as "Ecosystem

    Services."


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    Local Perspectives

    In May 2010, a skillshare workshop in Nangulvi

    (located near the Intag River) was held to discuss

    the trends of ecosystem services with the local

    stakeholders and to gather local knowledge and

    perspectives of ecosystem services in Intag. In order

    to gain further knowledge and a new perspective of

    the direct status of the benefits provided by natural

    systems, local people identified valuable ecosystem

    services and rated their condition. A basic numeric

    ranking system was used to prioritize ecosystem

    service importance-water supply was ranked the

    highest.


    Ecosystem Service Descriptions and Examples

    Working with the local community of Intag between

    2008 and 2010, we identified 23 ecosystem services

    that contribute significantly to the economy, culture,

    and quality of life for regional residents.


    Specific ecosystem services exist within each category. These services are identified in Table 8.

    Table 8: List of 23 Ecosystem Services73


    Good/Service

    Examples

    Pr o visioning

    Water Supply

    Provision of water for consumptive use, includes both quality and quantity

    Food

    Hunting, gathering of fish, game, fruits, etc.; small-scale subsistence farming and aquaculture

    Raw Materials

    Building and manufacturing; fuel and energy; fodder and fertilizer

    Genetic Resources

    Improve crop resistance to pathogens and pests

    Medicinal Resources

    Drugs, pharmaceuticals, chemical models, tools, test and essay organisms

    Ornamental Resources

    Resources for fashion, handicraft, jewelry, pets, worship, decoration and souvenirs

    Re g u l a t i n g

    Gas Regulation

    Provides clean, breathable air; disease prevention; and a habitable planet

    Climate Regulation

    Maintenance of a favorable climate promotes human health, crop productivity, recreation and other services

    Disturbance Prevention

    Prevents and mitigates natural hazards and natural events, generally associated with storms and other severe weather

    Soil Retention

    Maintains arable land, prevents damage from erosion and promotes agricultural productivity

    Water Regulation

    Provides natural irrigation, drainage, channel flow regulation and navigable transportation

    Biological Control

    Provides pest and disease control, reduces crop damage

    Waste Treatment

    Pollution control/ detoxification; filtering of dust particles through canopy services

    Soil Formation

    Promotes agricultural productivity and the integrity of natural ecosystems

    Pollination

    Pollination of wild plant species and harvested crops

    Nutrient Regulation

    Promotes health and productive soils, and gas, climate and water regulations

    Habit a t

    Habitat and Biodiversity

    Maintenance of biological and genetic diversity (and thus the basis for most other functions)

    Nursery

    Maintenance of commercially harvested species

    ln f orma tion

    Aesthetic Information

    Enjoyment of scenery

    Recreation

    Travel to natural ecosystems for eco-tourism, outdoor sports, etc.

    Science and education

    Use of natural systems for school excursions, etc. Use of nature for scientific research

    Spiritual and historic informatio

    n Use of nature for religious or historic purposes (i.e., heritage value of natural ecosystems and features)

    Cultural and Artistic Information

    Use of nature as motive in books, film, painting, folklore, national symbols, architecture, advertising, etc

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    Gas and Climate Regulation

    Gas and climate regulation refers to the roles that

    ecosystems play in regulating the gaseous phase

    of compounds, organic and inorganic, which affect

    atmospheric composition, air quality, and climate

    regulation. The oxygen that people breathe is a

    product of photosynthesis from marine plankton and

    terrestrial plants. Removal of pollutants is another

    important aspect of gas and climate regulation.

    Low air quality can cause health care costs to spike

    as respiratory diseases develop. The regulation of

    climate is dependent on the composition of the

    atmosphere. Greenhouse gases, such as CO( /&" transparent to light but trap heat, warming our planet

    like a greenhouse. Carbon dioxide is removed through carbon sequestration as plants absorb CO( to produce roots, shoots, stems, and leaves.


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    Maintaining a climate within a stable range is increasingly a priority for local, federal, and international jurisdictions. The role of forests and other ecosystems in controlling greenhouse gases (GHGs) that contribute to global warming is essential to maintaining a stable climate and prosperous economy. However, carbon sequestration is not the only value provided by gas and climate regulation. Agricultural soils can also sequester more carbon when certain techniques are used, including crop rotations, livestock waste disposal and conservation tillage, especially no-till.74 75 Because these types of practices could provide significant global value, there is increased interest in including agricultural lands

    in carbon trading markets, with farmers receiving payments for their sequestration.


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    Intag Example:

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    Carbon offsetting by means of reforestation has

    become a major priority in Ecuadorian policy.

    The Ecuadorian Ministry of Environment implemented

    Programa Socio Bosque (meaning Forest Partner, in

    English) in 2008 where landowners are paid up to $30

    per hectare to maintain their native forests. Funding

    provided by UN-REDD Programme.


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    PROFAFOR (Programa FACE de Forestaci6n) provides carbon dioxide emissions trading in Ecuador, which in 2005, traded at rates of up to $77 to $135 per hectare of land that is reforested.v Local programs have been implemented by schools in Intag to work with carbon offsetting organizations to help reduce CO( emissions created by air travel.76


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  2. Adjusted for inflation. Original rates from PROFAFOR were $68 to $119 per hectare.

    Disturbance Prevention

    One of the most significant factors in an ecosystem's

    ability to prevent flooding is the absorption capacity

    of the land. This is a factor of land cover type (forest

    vs. pavement, for example), soil structure and quality,

    as well as other hydrological and geological dynamics

    within the watershed. The U.S. Geological Survey

    estimates that urban development leads to increases

    in peak flood discharge flows of 100-600 percent

    for 2-year storm events, 20-300 percent for 10-year

    events, and 10-250 percent for 100-year events.77


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    Retention of forest cover and restoration of floodplains and wetlands provide tangible and valuable ecosystem services. For example, upland forests absorb rainwater, which significantly reduces its downhill and peak flows into major stream and river systems. In undeveloped areas of a watershed, typically less than 15 percent of precipitation reaches streams or rivers as surface runoff, compared with

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    55-70 percent in a developed watershed. In Ecuador, record flooding occurred in 2008, which affected many communities downstream from the Andes over the

    flat Ecuadorian Coast.78


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    One of the most critical ecosystem services is flood risk reduction. The loss of wetlands, forests, and natural systems that reduce peak flows and promote infiltration and conveyance also increase flood risk. No current flood planning in Ecuador fully accounts for the protection provided by both natural and built infrastructure.


    Preventing flooding in Intag and the lower reaches of the Esmeraldas River will require understanding the ecosystem service function of water regulation. Flood risk mitigation is crucial to making good investments, both in natural and built capital.

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    Intag Example:

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    The tropical vegetation of the mountain ranges in

    Intag hold substantial amounts of water throughout

    the entire year, especially during peak rainy months of

    December to April.79 On average, the annual rainfall in

    Intag ranges between 1,000 and 3,000 mm, and often

    exceeds this range during exceptionally wet rainy

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    seasons, for example, an El Nino event. The vegetative

    system in these mountains is vital to downstream

    communities. Without the existence of the tropical

    cloud forests of Intag, a substantial amount of the

    rainfall would overflow the rivers and flood several

    regions at the base of the river system.

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    Water Regulation

    This category includes regulation of water flows

    through the ground and along terrestrial surfaces, as

    well as regulation of temperature, dissolved minerals,

    and oxygen. Ecosystems absorb water during rains

    and release it in dry times. They also regulate water

    temperature and flow for plant and animal species.

    Forest cover, riparian vegetation and wetlands all

    contribute to modulating the flow of water from

    upper portions of the watershed to streams and rivers

    in the lower watershed.


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    When forested basins are heavily harvested, the remaining vegetation and litter layer on the forest floor absorbs less water. Because the ground's capacity to absorb water is reduced, more water flows over the land and into streams and rivers. This

    contributes to higher peak flows, flood events, erosion and landslide issues, as well as lower low flows in summer months, because the water was not retained in natural system.80


    Intag Example:

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    Local villagers near the Penaherra-Cristal micro-

    watershed usually take 20-minute walks to healthier

    sections of the forest that provide the materials

    needed for everyday use.81 Nearby vegetation

    providing these items are scarce, mostly due to the

    clearing of the vegetation in order to develop lands

    near the villages. According to recent updates, it was

    estimated that 30-40 percent of land is in urgent need

    of reforestation.

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    Soil Retention

    Soil serves a vital function in nature. It provides a

    medium for plant and nutrient growth as well as

    habitat for millions of micro- and macro-organisms.

    Healthy soils are able to store water and nutrients,

    regulate water flow and neutralize pollutants more

    efficiently than degraded soils.82 In this sense, soil

    retention reinforces a number of other ecosystem

    services, including disturbance prevention and the

    provisioning of raw materials.


    The soil retention properties of ecosystems determine the rate of erosion, and thus soil retention is closely linked with preventing disturbances such as landslides, which are often caused by excessive erosion and

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    can be attributed to human land use. In many areas, vegetation can prevent landslides and harmful erosion. The susceptibility of a given slope to erosion is determined by grain size, soil cohesion, slope gradient, rainfall frequency and intensity, surface composition and permeability, and type of land cover. A forest's organic layers absorb water during periods of heavy precipitation, acting as a natural sponge and preventing erosion. In areas where active forestry occurs, the upper layers of soil are often removed or degraded.


    Intag Example:

    As part of the western slopes of Ecuador's northern

    Andes, the Intag region consists of steep slopes and

    great canyons.


    Soil erosion mainly occurs in elevations below 3,400 meters in Intag.83 This is primarily due to loss of original forest cover and conversion of land to agriculture.

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    Soil Formation

    Soil quality and abundance is critical for human

    survival, yet human actions can also affect nature's

    ability to provide high-quality soils. There are

    generally five elements that influence the type and

    characteristics of soils: parent material, topography,

    living organisms, climate, and time characteristics.84


    Intag Example:

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    For the most part, parent material is chemically

    weathered mineral or organic matter that contributes

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    to soil formation. In the Intag zone, the topsoil is rich

    in organic matter, though in certain regions where the

    organic matter has not weathered, the soil is formed

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    from silty and sandy deposits. Volcanoes in the region

    have significantly contributed to the area's relatively

    rich soils.


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    The climate is the overarching factor for observed altitudinal differences in soil development by affecting the leaching regime and organic matter decomposition. Climate in the Intag region is that of an equatorial high altitude environment (within 50 km of the Equator) where temperatures stay within a smaller range throughout the year. The Intag and Manduriacos regions have a wide altitudinal range from 650 m to 4,000 m, where the mean annual

    temperature is about 15°C. At much higher elevations, temperatures drop by 0.6°C for every 100 meters.

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    Like much of the Andean Tropics, Intag has an average rainfall of 1,000 mm to 3,000 mm.


    Time is absolutely essential to soil formation. In the volcanic complex of Cotacachi, located east of Intag, there has been a long history of volcanic activity involving several different eruption centers. Closest

    to Intag, ancient volcanic lake Cuicocha has had three phases of activity, which occurred over a period of

    a few hundred years, ending at around year 3,000 BP.vi Calderas formed by explosive eruptions result in pyroclastic flows, or massive fast-moving currents of hot gas and ash, that spread throughout the area of the volcano and deposit tephra in a thin blanket.


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  3. Before Present (BP) years is a time scale used in archaeology, geology, and other scientific disciplines to specify when events in the past occurred.

Nutrient Regulation

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The transfer of nutrients from one place to another

and transformation of critical nutrients from unusable

to usable forms is an essential ecosystem service.

There are 22 essential elements for the growth and

maintenance of living organisms. All living things

depend on the nutrient cycles of carbon, oxygen,

nitrogen, phosphorous, and sulfur in relatively large

quantities. These are also the nutrient cycles that

human actions have most affected. Silicon and iron are

important elements in oceanic nutrient cycles because

they affect phytoplankton community composition

and productivity. Natural processes facilitate

the movement of nutrients and turn them from

biologically unavailable forms, such as rocks or gases

in the atmosphere, into forms that can be used by

other living things. Nutrient cycling is a fundamental

precursor to ecosystem and economic productivity.

Without functioning nutrient cycles, life on the planet

would cease to exist.


Living organisms mediate nutrient regulation. On land, plants depend on biologically-mediated breakdown

of organic matter to make the nutrients they need for growth available. As plants and plant parts die, they contribute to the pool of organic matter that feeds the microbial, fungal, and micro-invertebrate communities in soils. Underground fungal structures

can also provide support to living plants-for example, young trees may not receive enough nutrients through sunlight because mature trees block sunlight, but can instead draw nutrients from mycorrhizal structures hundreds of yards away.85 Such communities facilitate the transformation of nutrients from one form to another. Larger animals play a crucial role in nutrient cycles by moving nutrients from one place to another in the form of excrement, and the decomposition of their bodies after they die. Animals also play a role in transporting nutrients between terrestrial and aquatic environments.


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Intag example:

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In montane tropical forests nutrient availability is

determined by temperature and precipitation among

other factors. However, limiting nutrients control the

overall growth of this ecosystem and the thriving of

specific species able to adapt to these limitations. The

major components of net primary production (NPP) in

tropical montane forests are, in order of importance,

above- ground litterfall, root production, and, to a

much lesser extent, wood increment. Intag, like other

montane forests, depends immensely on the amount

of litterfall for the nutrients optimal distribution.

Reduction in foliar coverage will affect the NPP of the

entire ecosystem, creating disastrous rippling effects.86

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Waste Treatment

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Microorganisms in sediments, soils, and wetlands

break down human and other animal wastes.87 They

can also slowly detoxify petroleum products. The

physical destruction of habitat, alteration of food

webs, or overload of nutrients or waste products

disrupts disease regulation and waste processing

services. Alteration of ecosystems can also create

breeding sites for disease vectors where they were

once nonexistent. People can be exposed to disease

in areas through direct contact with bacterial or

viral agents while swimming or washing in fresh or

saltwater, and by ingesting contaminated fish, seafood

or water.


Wetlands, estuarine macro algae, and near-shore sedimentary biota play a crucial role in removing nitrogen and phosphorous from water.88 The removal of these nutrients maintains offshore water conditions that are conducive to healthy native fish and invertebrate biota.


Intag Example:

Decomposition rates are rapid in tropical forests

characterized by high, constant temperatures and

high annual rainfall. However seasonal droughts limit

decomposition rates in many tropical forests. Water

affects decomposition directly through leaching and

indirectly though effect on microbial decomposers.

Intag's forests and other vegetative biotypes influence

the area's climatic system, thereby reducing casual

effects such as droughts, as well as providing forest

soils with necessary elements to regenerate, and for

decomposition, making essential nutrients available to

other organisms.89

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Biological Control

Biological Control is the ability of ecosystems to

limit the prevalence of crop and livestock pests and

diseases. A wide variety of pest species destroy

human agricultural crops, reducing worldwide harvest

by an estimated 42 percent, thereby causing a loss of

$244 billion dollars each year.90 A number of natural

predators for pest species contribute to natural

control of damages. These predators also play a role

in protecting forests from pests. Birds, for example,

are natural predators of many harmful insects.


Intag Examples:

In recent years, humans have increasingly used

pesticides to control crop losses. While pesticides

can reduce the risk of specific pest attacks, they can

also harm natural predator populations and lead to

resistance among pests, making them even more

difficult to control in the future. Overuse of pesticides

is also known to reduce provisioning of some other

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ecosystem services, particularly water quality. As

agriculture makes up the majority of economic

activity in Intag, pesticides have traditionally been

used heavily, notably tomatoes, Tree Tomatoes

(Cyphomandra betacea) and Naranjilla (Solanum

sp.), which has taken a heavy toll on biodiversity and

accessible drinking water.91


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While there may be a role for pesticide control in agricultural practice, there are also ways to manage crops to enhance biological control services. Local grassroots organizations have stepped in and gathered funding in order to educate the regional farmers and help the community purchase and protect local watersheds. Several workshops have been held to educate the public on the impacts of pesticides and sustainable farming in Intag.92 These workshops discuss techniques that include crop diversification and genetic diversity, crop rotation, and promoting an abundance of smaller patches of fields.93

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Pollination

Pollination is essential to agricultural crops, trees,

and flowers, little is known about the status of many

pollinator species specific to the Intag region. It is

the role that insects, birds, mammals and, in some

cases, the wind, play in transporting pollen grains to

fertilize plants. People depend on pollination directly

for food and fiber, and indirectly as part of ecosystem

productivity. Many plant species would go extinct

without animal- and insect-mediated pollination.

Pollination services by wild animals are also crucial for

crop productivity for many types of cultivated foods,

enhancing the basic productivity and economic value

of agriculture.94


The importance of wild pollinators to food crops means that wild habitats near croplands are necessary in order to provide sufficient habitat to keep populations of pollinators intact. Recent research on coffee agrosystems in Costa Rica have shown that the pollination services provided by pollinators nesting

in forest patches adjacent to coffee plantations may contribute to substantially greater yields of coffee.95 Dr. Taylor Ricketts and a group of scientists from Stanford University and the World Wildlife Fund found that coffee fields near tropical forest fragments had higher productivity yields than coffee fields more distant from the forest. In their case study, they found that coffee farmers beyond 1 km from forest suffered 20 percent lower yields due to inadequate pollination services.96


Intag Example:

Coffee is an important agricultural product for

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many families in the Imbabura Province. Coffee

production relies on the diversity of animal and

insect pollination. Each farmer protects a small forest

on his cultivable land, which allows for habitat of

wildlife, including pollinators, and also protects the

farmland from erosion. All members of the coffee co-

op (AACRI) are required to grow crops under shade

trees.


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Habitat Refugium and Nursery

Habitat is the biophysical space and process in which

wild species meet their needs-a healthy ecosystem

provides physical structure, adequate food availability,

appropriate chemical and temperature regimes,

and protection from predators. Habitat may provide

refugium and nursery functions; a refugium refers

to general living space for organisms, while nursery

habitat is specifically where all the requirements for

successful reproduction occur.73 Biodiversity provides

the structure and complexity of ecosystems lending

resiliency and producing provisioning, regulating,

cultural and supporting ecosystem services. In

addition to the physical structure provided to species,

food/web relationships are important components of

habitats that support all species.

Intag Example:

Ecuador is ranked as one of the 17 most biodiverse

countries in the world.97 The Intag region is located

within the Tropical Andes biological hotspot and

Tumbes-Choc6-Magdalena biological hotspot.98 The

Tropical Andes hotspot has been identified as the

richest and most diverse region on Earth.45 This region

contains about a sixth of all plant life in less than

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one percent of the world's land area, and is home to

several endangered and threatened species including

the Yellow-eared parrot (Ognorhynchus icterotis),

Yellow-tailed woolly monkey (Oreonax flavicauda),

and Spectacled bear (Tremarctos ornatus).45 The

Tumbes-Choc6-Magdalena hotspot is home to the

bare-necked umbrella bird and the endangered white-

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winged guan of southern Ecuador. Many species

in the area are threatened or are declining due to

urbanization, hunting, and deforestation.45

Food

Providing food is one of the most important

ecosystem functions. Agricultural lands are our

primary source of food; farms are considered modified

ecosystems, and food is considered an ecosystem

good with labor and built capital inputs. Agricultural

value is measured by the total market value of crops

produced; however, market value is only a small

portion of the total value agricultural lands provide

through pollination, carbon sequestration, aesthetic

value, and other services.


Intag Examples:

Fifty percent of Intag has been converted to small and

medium farms. Even in the steep and mountainous

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area, approximately 90 percent of the population

owns land that is farmed. Farm sizes range from 1

to 50 hectares, where a variety of crops are grown,

including fruits such as citruses, papayas, pineapples,

blackberries, plantains; and vegetables such as broad

beans, peas, yuca (Manihot esculenta), camote

(lpomoea sp.), carrots, potatoes, avocados, tree

tomatoes, beans, and corn.vii Although most of the

crops are used locally, growing portions are sold in

regional markets such as Otavalo. Other cultivated

products include sugar cane, coffee and cabuya

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(Furcraea sp.).


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Yuca (Manihot esculenta)


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vii

This is a partial list of the diverse crops grown on a typical farm.

Water Supply

Watersheds produce water, including surface

water and groundwater for rural and metropolitan

areas. The hydrological cycle is affected by

structural elements of a watershed, such as forests,

wetlands, and geology, as well as processes, such

as evapotranspiration and climate. According to the

UNEP; over 60 percent of the world's population

gets their drinking water from forested watersheds.

The total rainfall per person in Ecuador is 43,000

cubic meters, which is three times the world

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average rainfall.99 Yet only 36.8 percent of the

country's population has access to potable water

and, on average, 41.8 percent has access to sewage

services.*)) The rainfall figure is misleading because

water resources are not distributed evenly over the

year, geographically, or throughout the population.

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Increasing loss of forest cover around the world has

decreased water supply due to lower groundwater

recharge and to lower flow reliability.*)*


Ecuador has been a pioneer in water economics. Below are three case studies of successful national water projects that have proven users' interest in protecting local watersheds.


Case # 1 FONAG, the Water Fund for Quito. Ninety percent of Quito's drinking water comes from the Condor biosphere reserve. A group of private, public, and international organizations developed a fund with the purpose of creating a permanent financial source

viii

for watershed conservation at the Condor Bioreserve.

The fund was created in 2000 by voluntary

contributions from water users and increased up to

US $1.65 million from 2001-2005. During this time

period, it provided for watershed services, forest

protection, and compensation to 27,000 reserve

residents.*))


Case # 2 Pimampiro Payment for Ecological Services. In 2000, the municipality of Pimampiro launched a payment program for the protection of the upper watershed that delivers their community drinking

water. The municipality pays 27 households living on the banks of the Palaurco River for water quality and quantity protection, as well as forest and paramo protection and regeneration. The payment is financed with a 20 percent consumption fee paid by water users in Pimampiro and the interests generated by a fund with an initial capital of US $15,000.*)(


Case # 3 Pedro Moncayo and Otavalo Micro- Watershed Reforestation Fund. Pedro Moncayo and Otavalo Micro-Watershed Reforestation Fund was created to protect Lake Mojanda. Deforestation of

the slopes around the lake has led to a drop in the lake's water level (5 meters in last 10 years) and there are concerns about future water availability. The Municipal Company for Drinking Water and Waste Treatment and irrigation users began compensating people in the micro-valleys within the slopes of Mojanda for improving management such as agroforestry practices and commercial plantations reforesting using native species.103


Intag Example:

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Cloud forests are unique in their ability to store

water. As tropic weather heads east from the Pacific

Ocean, more water is pushed inland and moisture is

forced up the Andes mountain ranges. Cloud forests

in tropical areas store water ranging from 3,000 to

50,000 liters per hectare.104 Recent studies show how

clearing rain forests impacts local climates as far as 50

km away.105 As winds move across cleared lowlands,

clouds are lifted higher over the mountains. Fewer

clouds form over the forests, leading to less rainfall

and a cycle of dying forests, changing vegetation

growth and wind patterns.


viii Fundaci6n Antisana (a local NGO)

image, USAID, The Nature Conservancy and Ecodecision (a local environmental organization)

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Raw Materials

Raw materials include biological materials used for

medicines, fuel, art, and building, as well as geological

materials used for construction or other purposes.

Crude oil, natural gas, and other fossil fuels are not

considered in this category because they are not

renewable.


Intag Example:

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The agave plant, locally known as Cabuya, is an

extremely useful plant. The plant is primarily used for

fibers from the leaf (sisal). Useful goods are produced

with the sisal, such as baskets, purses, belts, hats, and

even iPad covers. Vegetable ivory (Phytelephas sp.),

known as Tagua in Ecuador, is used in a wide variety

of products such as handicrafts and jewelry. The Tagua

has become an important substitute for elephant

ivory. The women's group, Mujer y Ambiente, has

been producing hand made handicrafts since 1993.

They meet once a month to share techniques and to

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talk about events happening in the area.


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Genetic Resources

Genetic resources represent an ecosystem service

in itself because novel, valuable products have been

derived from genetic and chemical properties of

species. Genetic resources provide a secure food

base (multiple sources of food with different seasonal

availability). Recent developments in plant biology

have allowed scientists to study the patterns of

evolution, which allow flora to adapt and coexist

with newly introduced pests, pesticides, fertilizers,

and climates. Genetic material has yet to be fully

understood and thus potential applications of

endangered plant species provide a significant enough

reason to preserve them.


Intag Example:

The Tropical Andes biological hotspot supports 664

distinct species of amphibians, the largest variety in

the world, with almost 450 amphibian species listed

as threatened on the 2004 IUCN Red List.45

Aesthetic and Recreational

Aesthetic value, as an ecosystem service, refers to

the appreciation of natural land and seascapes. The

existence of national parks and designated scenic

areas attests to the social importance of this service.

There is also substantial evidence demonstrating the

economic value of environmental aesthetics through

analysis of data on tourism, housing markets, wages,

and relocation decisions. Degraded landscapes are

frequently associated with economic decline and

stagnation.106

Intag Examples:

Intag's unique environment is becoming increasingly

popular as a tourist destination. Notably, according

to the Intag Cloud Forest Reserve, there are 219 bird

species, with more added every year.


According to a U.S. AID Report, tourism in Ecuador is the third largest source of foreign exchange and

provides employment for nearly three percent of the economically active population, accounting for nearly 400,000 jobs.97 The Ecotourism Network of Intag

(REI) is made up of 13 organizations based in Intag's parishes. REI hopes local, national, and international tourists will begin to recognize Intag. At the moment, tourism in Intag is underdeveloped compared with the Galapagos and the Amazon. Efforts are underway to map trails in the Intag region to market Intag to tourists who visit Otavalo.


From the Galapagos Islands to the Pacific coast, Pacific slope, paramo, eastern slope, and tropical forests, Ecuador has a tremendous diversity of spectacular tourist opportunities. This represents a substantial opportunity for economic development and foreign cash infusion in many areas of the country.


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Scientific and Educational

The number of educational and research institutions

devoted to studying marine and terrestrial

environments shows the scientific and educational

importance of ecosystems. Government, academic,

and private resources are all devoted to formally

studying ecosystems in the Intag region. Such pursuits

benefit people through direct knowledge gained for

subsistence.


Intag Example:

Several social, scientific, and educational institutions

devoted to terrestrial environments collaborate

and aid local communities that rely on the Intag

Forest Region. They also provide locally significant

employment. DECOIN, Xarxa, Rainforest Concern,

GEO schutzt den Regenwald e.V., the Sloth Club are

just some of a long list of organizations involved in

supporting Intag's communities. University study

abroad organizations, such as Global Learning, are

also becoming an important source of support for

the emerging nature-based and solidarity tourism

initiatives.


Camera trapping methods have recently been used in several regions of the Andes Mountains to estimate the density of specific and possibly endangered species of animal. In one study, 15 Andean Bears were identified from camera trap photos feeding on wild avocadoes.107


Various universities conducted field studies in or around Intag, including the University of Sussex, which looked at conservation efforts for the brown-headed spider monkey (Ateles fusciceps).108

Medicinal Resource

Medicinal resources are rarely valued in ecosystem

service literature or in traditional economic analyses.

Maintaining ecological diversity is crucial to ensuring

the availability of genetic and biological resources

for future medical discoveries. About 25 percent

of mainstream drugs used by Western medicine

come from the rainforest. The U.S. National Cancer

Institute has reported than more than two-thirds

of all medicines with cancer-fighting properties

have come from rainforest plants.109 Additionally,

at least ten billion dollars per year in research

are spent in Western countries.**) Scientists are

looking to nature to find the cure to cancer. These

efforts include studying bears and their habits of

hibernation for treatment for kidney failure, and

studying fungi, Cordyceps, as a potential alternative

to treating Chagas, a disease common in Central in

South America. Despite this, less than one percent

of tropical rainforest plant species have been

investigated for their potential use as therapeutic

agents.


Intag Examples:

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Quinine is an organic chemical derived from the bark

of the cinchona tree (Cinchona rubra), which is native

to the Andean regions in South America. For nearly

400 years after its effectiveness was first documented,

image

Quinine was valuable for treating malaria for

hundreds of millions of people and in some parts of

the world it is still an important anti-malarial drug.


image

The Sangre de Drago is a latex-like sap that comes from the Croton species of tree found in Intag.

This medicinal sap was used for centuries by the indigenous peoples of the Amazon to treat various ailments, including diarrhea; ulcers in the mouth, throat, stomach, and intestines; upper respiratory viruses; cancer; and wounds.***


image


Cinchona tree (Cinchona rubra)

image

Ornamental resources

Ornamental resources are animal or plant products

used for fashion, decoration, and jewelry that

meet human needs through "aesthetic beauty and

intellectual stimulation that lift the human spirit".**(


Intag Example:

Ecuador has the largest variety of orchids in the

world (declared in the International Orchid Expo

in Hannover, 2000).113 There are at least 4,215

different orchid species in the country. Besides

being an important tourist attraction, orchids are an

increasingly attractive export product for Ecuador,

with an estimated 60,000 orchids exported a year.114

Data from the Central Bank of Ecuador indicates that

31 percent of orchid exports went to Germany, 29

percent went to Singapore, 25 percent went to the

United States, and four percent went to Japan.115 The

biggest orchid exporter in Ecuador is Ecuagenera,

which exports around 40,000 plants each year, at

prices varying from $8 to $50 per plant. This exporter

alone provides between $320,000 to $2 million to

the Ecuadorian economy.116 The orchids grown in

Intag are mainly for personal use. It is also one of the

largest attractions for tourists who make the trek to

Intag.

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Cultural and Spiritual

Many natural areas have special value to native

people from a spiritual perspective, as evidenced

by indigenous traditions, stories, and art depicting

wildlife and natural systems. Non-native people also

tend to feel an emotional or spiritual connection

to the landscape in which they live. Spiritual and

religious values are impossible to assess monetarily,

as there is no real way to measure their quantity or

importance across individuals.


image

The use of "willingness to pay" surveys for natural goods and services, such as protection for whales or tropical species, reveals that many people rank the protection of nature above additional material gains. That is to say, they would choose protection over a monetary reward. Some respondents to such survey instruments give "protest bids," which indicate that they are not willing to put a finite price on saving wildlife or wild places.


Intag Example:

image

The wealth of cultural history has barely been studied

in Intag. Before the Incas broadened their reign into

northern Ecuador, the Yumbo people inhabited a

region in the Imbabura and Pichincha provinces, just

north of Quito, from 800 to 1600 A.D.117 The Yumbo

Interpretation Centre attracts many visitors with its

burial mounds providing insight into the history of the

region.



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-Robert Costanza


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Valuation Analysis of the Intag Region


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Section Summary: The economic value of ecosystem services generated in the lntag Region was estimated using the benefit transfer methodology. The results of this methodology indicate that ecosystem goods and services within lntag generate a large amount of monetary value to the economy.


image

Valuation Methodology

The benefit transfer methodology was used to

conduct an economic valuation on Intag. This analysis

is a widely accepted economic methodology that

image

estimates the economic value of an ecological good

or service as determined by examining previous

valuation studies of similar goods or services in other

comparable locations. The study used on Intag uses

values from Ecuador, as well as values from similar

ecosystems elsewhere in the world.


Earth Economics manages a database of published, peer-reviewed ecosystem service valuation studies. Originally developed in partnership with the Gund Institute for Ecological Economics at the University of Vermont, the database provides value transfer estimates based on land cover types and is regularly updated.


The value of the ecosystem services is additive. A hectare of forestland provides water regulation and filtration services, as well as aesthetic, flood protection and refugium benefits. One study may establish the value per hectare of a watershed in

water filtration for a drinking water supply. Another study may examine the value per acre of refugium for wildlife. To determine the full per-acre value provided by a vegetation type, ecosystem service values are summed up and multiplied by the acreage.

The valuation techniques utilized to derive the values in the database were developed primarily within environmental and natural resource economics, and include direct use value and indirect use value. Direct use value involves interaction with the ecosystem itself rather than via the services it provides. It may be a consumptive use, such as the harvesting of trees or fish, or it may be non-consumptive use, such as hiking, bird watching, or educational activities. This value is often determined by market exchange values of goods produced or costs associated with enjoying the resource.


Indirect use value is derived from services provided by the ecosystem when direct values are not available. This may include the removal of nutrients, providing cleaner water down stream (water filtration), or the prevention of downstream flooding. Studies may derive values from associated market prices such as property values or travel costs. Values can also be derived from substitute costs like the cost of building

a water filtration plant when natural ecosystem filtration services are disturbed and fail. Contingent valuation is an additional method that entails asking individuals or groups what they are willing to pay

for a good or service. Table 9 describes the primary valuation methods used in this report.

Table 9: Methods for Primary Research in Ecosystem Service Valuation.


Direct Use Values

Market Price

Prices set in the marketplace appropriately reflect the value to the "marginal buyer." The price of a good tells us how much society would gain (or lose) if a little more (or less) of the good were made available. Example: Rainforest products such as coifee and cacao.

Indirect Use Values

Avoided Cost

Value of costs avoided by ecosystem services that would have been incurred in the absence of those services. Example: Hurricane protection provided by barrier islands

avoids property damages along the coast.

Replacement Cost

Cost of replacing ecosystem services with man-made systems. Example: Natural water

filtration replaced with costly man-made filtration plant.

Factor Income

The enhancement of income by ecosystem service provision. Example: Water quality

improvements increase commercial fisheries catch and incomes of fishermen.

Travel Cost

Cost of travel required to consume or enjoy ecosystem services. Travel costs can reflect the implied value of the service. Example: Recreation areas attract tourists whose value

placed on that area must be at least what they were willing to pay to travel to it.

Hedonic Pricing

The reflection of service demand in the prices people will pay for associated goods.

Example: Housing prices along the coastline tend to exceed the prices of inland homes.

Contingent Valuation

Value for service demand elicited by posing hypothetical scenarios that involve some valuation of land use alternatives. Example: People would be willing to pay for increased

preservation of beaches and shoreline.

Group Valuation

Discourse-based contingent valuation, which is arrived at by bringing together a

group of stakeholders to discuss values to depict society's willingness to pay. Example:

Government, citizen's groups, businesses come together to determine the value of an

area and the services it provides.


Intag Land Cover Class

The total area of the Intag region is roughly 150,000

hectares. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) data

on land cover (forests, bamboo, rivers, pastures) is

provided by satellite surveys. These land cover types

provide suites of ecosystem services that we can

value. One challenge of gathering GIS data in a region

like Intag is that cloud forests tend to limit satellite

image

coverage. Satellite information was not available for

27,643 ha of the Intag area because of cloud cover.

This is important to note because it means that the

values presented in this study are undervalued. The

area valued totaled 123,528 hectares or 82 percent

image

of the total area (18 percent of the land area was

image

obscured by clouds when satellite photos were taken, those photos were the basis for the GIS analysis).


Land cover data derived from EcoPar, an environmental non-profit organization based in Ecuador, reflects the best available GIS data for the Intag region. The following table shows GIS land cover type and area for each class in the region. The vegetation data was realized in 2008 using Landsat and Aster images in 2002 and 2007, respectively. Cloud forests and agricultural lands mainly cover the

Intag region. Figure 8 shows the geographic boundary of the study site.

image

Figure 8: Map and Acreage of Intag Region by Land Cover Class (2008)


Land Cover Types

Agricultural Lands

Hectares

3,432

Bamboo

1,900

Cloud Forests

60,965

Native Andean Alpine Grasslands

4,373

Pasture

18,932

Pasture and Agricultural

33,818

Rivers and Lakes

108

No Data (cloud covered)

27,643

Total

151,171


Source: EcoPar, Fernando Espinosa


Table 10: Ecosystem Services Identified and Valued in Intag


Agricultural lands

Grasslands

Lakes/Rivers

Pasture

Pasture/Agricultural

Bamboo

Cloud Forest

Aesthetic and Recreational

x

x

x

x

Biological Control

x

x

x

Cultural and Spiritual

Disturbance Regulation

Erosion Control

x

x

x

Gas and Climate Regulation

x

x

x

x

Genetic Resources

x

Habitat Refugium & Nursery

x

x

x

x

Medicinal Resources

Nutrient Cycling

x

x

Pollination

x

x

x

x

Raw Materials

x

x

x

Soil Formation

x

x

x

x

x

x

Waste Treatment

x

x

x

x

Water Regulation

x

x

x

Water Supply

x

x

x

x

Food Production

x

x

x

x

x


image Ecosystem service produced but ,%# valued in this report


image

image

x Ecosystem service produced and valued in this report Ecosystem service not produced by land cover class


Ecosystem Services Identified and Valued Of the 23 ecosystem services identified by the local community, we were able to place a dollar value on 18 of them. Some important ecosystem services were not provided a dollar value for one of the following reasons: (1) Primary studies did not exist for the ecosystem service identified; (2) No method exists

to place a monetary value on the ecosystem service identified; or (3) It is impossible to place a value on some services, such as cultural and spiritual services. The following table identifies which services were valued in this study by land cover type.

High and Low Value Estimates by Land Cover Class

The following series of tables provide high and low

valuation results per hectare by land cover type. All

values are adjusted for inflation and are presented in

2009 US dollar per hectare per year units.


Appendices C-D describe the land cover type, ecosystem service, authors of papers used in this study, the lowest and the highest values known for each value utilized in this study. There is also a single value column where low and high values do not exist.


Table 11: High and Low Estimates for Agricultural Lands

Bamboo (per ha)

Min

Max

Aesthetic and Recreational

Biological Control

Erosion Control

Gas and Climate Regulation

$474.45

$615.01

Genetic Resources

Habitat Refugium and Nursery

$572.85

$572.85

Nutrient Cycling

Pollination

Raw Materials

$456.86

$456.86

Soil Formation

$676.24

$676.24

Waste Treatment

$230.19

$230.19

Water Regulation

Water Supply

$562.14

$562.14

Food Production

3%#<.

$2,972.73

$3,113.29

Table 12: High and Low Estimates for Bamboo


Agricultural Lands (per ha)

Min

Max

Aesthetic and Recreational

$72.03

$72.03

Biological Control

Erosion Control

$14.16

$14.16

Gas and Climate Regulation

$27.70

$774.00

Genetic Resources

Habitat Refugium and Nursery

Nutrient Cycling

$54.27

$54.27

Pollination

$6.29

$419.41

Raw Materials

$988.65

$2,525.28

Soil Formation

$14.16

$14.16

Waste Treatment

Water Regulation

Water Supply

Food Production

$384.47

$10,512.64

3%#<.

$1,561.73

$14,385.95

Table 13: High and Low Estimates for Cloud Forests

Pasture (per ha)

Min

Max

Aesthetic and Recreational

Biological Control

$3,423.68


$3,423.68

$3,423.68


$3,423.68

Erosion Control

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Gas and Climate Regulation

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Genetic Resources

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Habitat Refugium and Nursery

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Nutrient Cycling

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Pollination

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Raw Materials

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Soil Formation

$16.29

$16.29

Waste Treatment

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Water Regulation

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Water Supply

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Food Production

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

3%#<.

$16.29

$16.29

Table 14: High and Low Estimates for Pasture


Cloud Forests (per ha)

Min

Max

Aesthetic and Recreational

Biological Control

$3.68


$5.68

$766.06


$23.55

Erosion Control

$6.82

$958.89

Gas and Climate Regulation

$26.12

$623.02

Genetic Resources

$1.73

$253.84

Habitat Refugium and Nursery

$2.59

$1,342.82

Nutrient Cycling

$514.55

$1,346.65

Pollination

$3.10

$654.83

Raw Materials

$11.21

$3,423.68

Soil Formation

$10.01

$14.26

Waste Treatment

$86.51

$259.52

Water Regulation

$25.17

$76.65

Water Supply

$3.10

$10.58

Food Production

$8.38

$2,659.22

3%#<.

$708.65

$12,413.57

Table 15: High and Low Estimates for Pasture and Agricultural

Native Andean Alpine Grasslands (per ha)

Min

Max

Aesthetic and Recreational

Biological Control


$22.61


$33.16

Erosion Control

$41.83

$44.21

Gas and Climate Regulation

$9.41

$397.35

Genetic Resources

Habitat Refugium and Nursery

$3.10

$3.10

Nutrient Cycling

Pollination

$25.01

$36.07

Raw Materials

Soil Formation

$1.21

$1.44

Waste Treatment

$7.48

$125.49

Water Regulation

$4.32

$5.02

Water Supply

$3.10

$14.95

Food Production

$57.03

$57.03

3%#<.

$175.11

$717.81

Table 16: High and Low Estimates for Native Andean Alpine Grassland


Pasture and Agricultural (per ha)

Min

Max

Aesthetic and Recreational

Biological Control

$63.68


$33.51

$63.68


$33.51

Erosion Control

Gas and Climate Regulation

Genetic Resources

Habitat Refugium and Nursery

Nutrient Cycling

Pollination

$5.56

$28.02

Raw Materials

Soil Formation

$1.41

$1.41

Waste Treatment

Water Regulation

Water Supply

Food Production

$86.26

$86.26

3%#<.

$190.42

$212.88

Rivers and Lakes (per ha)

Min

Max

Aesthetic and Recreational

$33.87

$51,597.93

Biological Control

Erosion Control

Gas and Climate Regulation

Genetic Resources

Habitat Refugium and Nursery

$42.33

$42.33

Nutrient Cycling

Pollination

Raw Materials

Soil Formation

Waste Treatment

$183.92

$2,391.04

Water Regulation

$3,697.88

$6,466.48

Water Supply

$79.91

$14,641.83

Food Production

$40.99

$40.99

3%#<.

$4,078.91

$75,180.60

Table 17: High and Low Estimates for Rivers and Lakes


Per hectare values were summed for each land cover class across ecosystem services. Table 18 shows the acreage value of each vegetation type within the region, the total $ per hectare for that vegetation type across the ecosystem services where values exist. Because no valuation studies for sum vegetation type per ecosystem service value combinations exist for some services, these are clearly underestimates.


image

Table 18: Annual Ecosystem Service Value Flows for the Intag Region


Acreage

Low and High Values (per Acre)

Low and High Totals (Values x Acreage)

Land Cover Types

Hectares

Low

High

Low

High

Agricultural Lands

3,432

$1,561.73

$14,385.95

$5,359,864.44

$49,372,582.60

Bamboo

1,900

$2,972.73

$3,113.29

$5,648,187.00

$5,915,251.00

Cloud Forests

60,965

$708.65

$12,413.57

$43,203,021.44

$756,793,127.50

Native Andean Alpine Grasslands

4,373

$175.11

$717.81

$765,743.02

$3,138,989.33

Pasture

18,932

$16.29

$16.29

$308,443.02

$308,443.02

Pasture and Agricultural

33,818

$190.42

$212.88

$6,439,603.47

$7,199,219.29

Rivers and Lakes

108

$4,078.91

$75,180.60

$440,522.14

$8,119,504.91

No Data

27,643

-

-

-

-

Total

151,171

$62,165,384.53

$830,847,117.65

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Summary of Results

The annual flow of value shown by the partial

valuation of 17 ecosystem services across seven land

cover types in the Intag region is roughly between $62

million and $831 million. The low and high estimates

are both underestimated because several ecosystem

services have not been included; these services are

appreciating in value and for other reasons noted in

Appendix A. This represents significant development

and income opportunity for the region and a basis for

sustainable economic development.


From this annual flow of value, a capital asset value analogous to an "asset value" can be calculated. This is the difference between the sum of monthly mortgage payments across the year (an annual flow of value for living in the house for one year) and the full sale value of a house (the asset value or present

image

value). To determine the present value of ecosystems to society, we apply a depreciation (or discount) rate of three-percent over 100 years from the present day. Applying a commonly used three-percent discount rate, we find that Intag's 17 ecosystem services that were examined provide an asset value between $3 billion and $28 billion. This shows there that the current natural and agricultural systems of the Intag region are tremendous national assets. Because natural assets appreciate, rather than depreciate, over time the discount rate is likely closer to zero.


Discount Rate (100 years)

Low Estimate (US$ billion)

High Estimate (US$ billion)

0%

$6

$83

3%

$3

$28

Table 19: Present Value over 100 Years with Zero and Three Percent Discount Rates

The discount rate measures how much value current decision-makers give to future value production. A zero-percent discount rate implies that current flows of ecosystem services are just as important to future flows of ecosystem services. A three-percent discount rate implies that people today have a time preference

- what remains in the future is less important than what we have today.


Calculations of the present value of the flow of ecosystem services do show that intact natural systems provide enormous value to society in the short- and long-term. The present generation receives a relatively small amount of the total value provided by these systems. For example, the supply of drinking water for this year is critically important and clearly valuable, but is small in comparison to the total amount of water and value provided over a 100-

year period. Through time, future generations will cumulatively receive very large economic benefits from functioning natural capital.


Self-interested actions that damage the long-term productivity of these systems for short-term gain could result in vegetative destruction or ecological process changes that would degrade the ecological services provided. This would likely result in a substantial loss of benefits and potentially substantial costs incurred by public and private individuals and firms.


image

Even on the low side of these estimates, these values clearly support a significantly higher investment in conservation, which will produce higher real benefits for residents. The asset value of ecosystems in the Intag region certainly exceeds billions.

image


....


APuela, a small ••


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Implications and Recommendations


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Section Summary: Economies depend upon ecosystem goods and services, and become weakened when regional ecosystems are degraded. The long-term health of the lntag Region and Ecuador depends upon our ability to make wise choices and investments that increase the productive capacity of the watershed's natural capital. Recommendations on how to understand and positively apply the results of this study are designated in bold text below.


Investing in the Future

Ecuadorian leadership has critical investment

decisions to make. The term "investment" describes

choices made today to allocate resources to generate

returns in the future. An economy is the product

of previous decades of investment. Even without a

catastrophic industrial accident, the cost of mining

production, remediation, and reclamation far

outweighs the short-term profits gained by mining in

this unique and sensitive region.


The city of Quito has a first-rate public transportation system, which surpasses those of many cities in

the United States. It is because leaders over 15 years ago invested in the bus rapid transit. When investing in this infrastructure, the city considered not only the short-term costs and benefits of local

transportation, but also the long-term investment in a world approaching peak oil. Ecuadorian leadership

should apply this same principle when making mining decisions for the Intag region.


As ecosystems in the Intag region become fragmented and the fragile cloud forests become scarcer, it is imperative to support new and existing conservation and restoration projects for the future regional economy.

Decision-Making Support

The large dollar values of ecosystem services in the

Intag region demonstrate the importance of natural

systems to the local economy. The appraisal values

identified in this study are defensible and applicable to

decision-making at every jurisdictional level.


This study provides decision-makers an opportunity to shift from addressing issues and challenges at

a single jurisdiction and single issue to taking an integrated approach of developing a sustainable economy in which natural capital is an integral part of wise investments that maintain or rise in value over time.


Watershed Characterization

Watershed characterizations and other watershed-

based analyses should be a priority. Understanding

and documenting watershed boundaries and

flow is incredibly important to development in

the 21,. century. In recent years, characterization

methodologies have dramatically advanced to

recognize that human economy and ecosystem

services are crucial to understanding the value

and depth of watershed characterization. It is also

important that provincial and national agencies

adopt this analysis as a normal part of operations.

Training for academic institutions, private firms

(including consulting companies and nonprofits), and

government agencies in ecosystem service analysis

should proceed at a rapid pace.


Economic benefits provided by natural systems are important and need to be valued to properly inform public and private investment. These improvements in economic analysis, which promote better investment, are informed by ecosystem services. The mapping of ecosystem services on the landscape, their provisioning, beneficiaries, and impediments

all inform how institutions should be set up and how incentives and funding mechanisms should be created. Government funding mechanisms could be greatly improved by setting up mechanisms on the global scale, where beneficiaries in Europe, North America and Asia can compensate for the benefits of biodiversity, climate stability, and other global benefits provided by areas like Intag.


Completing watershed characterization studies should be made a priority, including ecosystem services, which are crucial to solving many of the biological and economic sustainability issues in Intag.


Cost/Benefit Analysis

A cost/benefit analysis is used to make investment

decisions in areas such as health care, levee

construction, education, road building, economic

development, and tax breaks. If a cost/benefit

analysis is flawed, investments will be flawed. For

example, a fish-processing plant counts as an asset in

cost/benefit analysis. However, United States' federal

rules do not recognize natural systems as assets.

Therefore it is not recognized or valued in the cost/

benefit analysis.


In the United States, the federal cost/benefit analysis rules (Principles and Guidelines) are currently being rewritten to include the value of natural systems

and ecosystem services. This will affect all federal agencies from the National Health Institute to the Army Corps of Engineers. The process is expected to take two years. It is Earth Economics' experience that

when local and regional jurisdictions factor natural capital into cost/benefit analysis, better-informed decisions result. When working with federal agencies on projects, local jurisdictions have an opportunity to take a leadership role.


Local jurisdictions in Ecuador should encourage this during project planning phases to develop a full range of alternatives including no-project options, to gain a full understanding of the potential risks and benefits of any project.


Project Prioritization

Criteria for selection and prioritization of capital

infrastructure projects need to reflect the goals of the

communities and the policies of local jurisdictions.

Although not a comprehensive list of criteria, some

questions driven by ecosystem services-related

policies include:


  1. Does the project enhance or maintain natural

    6&%*/''/'=

  2. Do the project impacts enhance or degrade

    associated ecosystem services (such as habitat

    or water quality) at the site-specific or regional

    '*<./'=

  3. Are the costs and benefits (safety, health,

economic, and ecological) of this project

distributed equitably over time and space?


Environmental Impact Statements Environmental impact statements (EISs) can affect project design and investment by identifying actions that reduce the negative environmental impacts

or enhance restoration. One of the fundamental

challenges of EISs is the lack of an economic

interface. In other words, environmental damages

can be quantified in scientific terms, but this has

no common language with project financing,

which is denominated in dollars. Ecosystem service

identification and valuation often strengthen the

weakest area of environmental planning and analysis:

providing an understanding of the economic benefits

and costs of conservation or restoration projects.


In 2010, the Peruvian congress passed a law requiring EISs for all development projects to include ecosystem service valuation. The Peruvian Ministry of Environment then requested Earth Economics' assistance in developing a robust valuation program, which utilizes web-based tools that can be run

by planning officials or local consultants. Earth Economics is currently developing a web-based tool called SERVES (Simple Effective Resource for Valuing Ecosystem Services) to do scenario valuation and will have an internal version of that tool in late 2011. Earth Economics is working with the Peruvian government

to fundraise to make this tool and the required training available to be used for all development projects in two pilot provinces in 2012.


image

Providing this valuation in EISs allows for a stronger understanding of the economic benefits the project provides. Identifying the dollar value of ecosystem services enhanced by the project and provided to the public also strengthens the capacity for funding proposals. Private and public institutions should

include an ecosystem service analysis to strengthen environmental impact assessments. Policy makers should lead the nation in requiring ecosystem service analysis in all applicable EISs.


Environmental Bonds

Large-scale mining may cause health and

environmental impacts. History shows that without

including the potential costs of restoration, long-term

health, and environmental damage, taxpayers or local

communities may pay vast costs beyond the life of

the mine. The US EPA and other national institutions

have created environmental bonds so that the risk of

catastrophic or long-term damage can be included up

front in the costs of a risky project. The environmental

bond does three things. First, it provides an incentive

for companies to invest in technology and actions

that reduce the risk of damaging others and the

environment because as the risk of damage is

image

reduced, the size of the bond required is reduced. Second, it ensures that if there is severe damage, then sufficient funds have been set aside to repair and restore damaged areas and compensate people damaged by that action. Finally, environmental bonding shifts mining and other risky investments to areas where they have less risk of damaging people and sensitive environmental areas. For example, one aspect of the environmental bond for a mine in the Atacama Desert would be less than a bond in Intag, because there is less rainfall and potential risk for a flood event to wash mine waste into downstream communities. If mining does proceed, the size of the

environmental bond should be capable of covering potential damages.


Development of Funding Sources

The values included in this report are not spatially

explicit but they do provide reference values for

some of the ecosystem services that are produced by

comparable ecosystems to those in the Intag region.

A riparian restoration group, for example, might

like to apply for grant funding that would restore

100 acres of riparian forest. Using the values found

in Appendix C as a reference, they can perform a

simple calculation to show the increase in public

economic value generated by that land, thus showing

an economic return on investment to the region in

addition to the ecological Return on Investment (ROI).

Ecosystem service valuation can provide conservation and restoration organizations, local and national agencies, and private owners with the tools to show

a rate of return on investment for natural resource investments. This is a new tool and it enables restoration projects to show monetary as well as ecological benefits of projects implemented.


Jobs Analysis

Ecosystem services and jobs are closely connected.

Examinations of jobs created by projects that

improve natural systems have economic importance.

Establishing an increase in permanent gainful

image

employment is far more important than providing temporary jobs. Jobs analysis (i.e. number of jobs

created) should be effectively linked to economic advancement and sustainability.


Towards a Sustainable and Desirable

>"#"&/

Infrastructure can be further integrated to satisfy

multiple goals (e.g. sustainability, economic

development, and flood protection) to provide a

better return on investment over time. Understanding

where and how to invest in a watershed is essential to

improving human wellbeing. Intag leaders can use the

concepts, values, and recommendations presented in

this study to begin incorporating ecosystem services

into agency goals, metrics, indicators, assessments,

and general operations. Examples include: developing

budgets and program planning, writing grant

applications to secure outside funding, examining

policies and accounting practices, designing and

reporting health indicators, and developing and

reviewing progressive permit processes in rural areas.


Yasuni Model

image

The Yasuni-ITT initiative is a proposal to protect Yasuni

National Park in the Ecuadorian Amazon rainforest

by leaving oil reserves underground and untouched

in return for the international community's

compensation for the forgone oil revenue.118 The

Ecuadorian government recognizes the need for a

post-petroleum economy and the Yasuni initiative

is a monumental step towards a more sustainable

development path. If successful, the model could be

replicated in the Intag region.


Next Steps

Earth Economics has been working with the visionary

community of Intag for two years to identify and

value the region's ecosystem services. This is the

first step in ecosystem service analysis. With further

investments in mapping, detailed scenario analysis,

accounting improvements, and policy research,

further innovations can be made to ensure Intag's

natural assets and the surrounding regions are managed for generations to come. To this end, we suggest the following next steps:


image

  1. Develop further modeling and mapping capacity.

    General, basin-wide investigation including

    hydrological studies should be coupled with

    further development of ecosystem service and

    image

    scenario tools. Leading-edge tools are available

    for identifying, mapping, and valuing carbon

    sequestration, biodiversity, flood protection, etc.

    Maps of ecosystem services can include:

  2. Develop scenario analyses. Create scenario analyses with modeling to help judge project and investment proposals against established criteria.

  3. Develop project prioritization and reporting methodology. Investigate robust reporting options to keep stakeholders and the community informed of project and investment status, location, and performance.

  4. Develop funding mechanisms. Examine improved cross-disciplinary funding mechanisms for storm protection and other ecosystem services to ensure the sustainability of ecosystem project investments and outcomes.

    image

  5. Develop innovative funding sources. Create

    image

    complementary funding sources. Conservation in Intag has generally been funded by the government through local taxes and fees or from grant funding from abroad. There are other funding mechanisms, such as a watershed investment district, agroforestry, and payment for ecosystem service schemes, which could provide complementary funding mechanisms to supplement these traditional approaches.

  6. Seek cross-jurisdictional partnerships. Develop funding mechanisms with a wide combination of complementary international, national, provincial, and local funding mechanisms.

  7. Improve Comprehensive Planning. Continue to advance land use planning, such as watershed characterization, and examine ecosystem services within the watershed, in light of economic development planning. This analysis supports a triple-bottom-line approach.

  8. Invest in Local Research. The range of 18 identified categories of ecological goods and services provided by Intag should be more closely examined. This can be done in a collaborative arrangement with government agencies, organizations, and universities to conduct a set

of ecosystem service studies. For example, if each protected area jurisdiction conducted one ecosystem service study with a full research agenda in its jurisdiction, the compilation of those studied would contribute greatly to better defining and narrowing the range of value

produced by Ecuador's ecosystems. This approach would reduce the cost of the studies and all jurisdictions would benefit.


Progressive Mine Remediation

With Chinese investment in Ecuador copper

extraction, the Junin mine is currently under

consideration for development. If large open-pit

mining does proceed in the Intag region, here are a

few recommendations:

  1. Incorporate the knowledge gained in this information transfer by employing ecosystem services valuations to identify the true impacts to natural systems in order to make a fully informed decision about the project. This will allow for better understanding not only of the direct impacts of the project, but how the health of these systems will be impacted by indirect, long- term influences, and who will reap benefits and who will pay costs.

  2. Provide space for the adoption of precautionary steps as a guiding precept to recognize potential negative impacts and development of a crisis response.

  3. Have transparency in every step of the process and establish accountability mechanisms to ensure compliance with project agreements.


    It is through the past 12 years of experience in applying ecosystem service concepts that Earth Economics understands that the impact

    Intag community groups can have should not be underestimated. The public should continue to be actively involved and informed of Intag's ecosystem services and their value. Stakeholders should partner with other national and international organizations and governmental agencies to increase their understanding of Intag's natural capital and its

    value to local and global communities, and apply sustainability concepts for a prosperous 21,. century Ecuadorian economy.

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    This study shows that the economy and quality of life of the people of Intag and all citizens of Ecuador depend upon healthy "natural capital." This report is the most comprehensive valuation of Intag's natural systems to date. An initial analysis in a growing field, this study should not be taken as the final word

    on ecosystem service valuation for Intag, nor a full ecological economic analysis. It is a first step towards understanding the significant economic and social

    risks of investment in mining operations in Intag, while accounting for the significant economic contributions that ecosystems make to the regional and national economies.


    These natural assets are not indestructible. They can be lost and, in fact, are being lost. The best way to prevent this loss is to invest in economic activities that provide long-term economic and environmental sustainability. The cost to promote conservation

    is minimal compared to the income generated by extractive activities and it is also minimal compared to the associated risks.


    The ecosystem services examined in this report include climate stability, flood protection, drinking water purification and supply, wildlife habitat, pollination, soil erosion control, soil formation, biological control, nutrient cycling, raw materials, waste treatment, food production, aesthetic, and recreational value. The seven land cover types are: cloud forests, agricultural lands, pastures, mix of agricultural and pastures, rivers and lakes, native Andean alpine grasslands (paramo in Spanish), pre- montane forest, and native bamboo.


    In our research, we found that 17 of 23 ecosystem services across the land cover types in Intag provide the regional and national community an average

    of $447 million in yearly benefits. These figures are based on cutting-edge economic analysis tools that were developed, in part, with a United States National

    Science Foundation grant.

    One way of determining economic value is to estimate

    the asset value of the natural capital providing this

    annual flow of value. This is like comparing house

    payments (flow of value) to the market value of the

    house (asset value). The value of an asset can be

    estimated from the flow of benefits it provides. If the

    natural capital of the Intag region were treated like an

    economic asset, the asset value of the natural systems

    would be an average of $45 billion at a 0-percent

    discount rate, which recognizes the renewable nature

    of ecosystem services and that there will be people in

    the future benefiting from them.


    It is becoming increasingly clear that economic sustainability relies on environmental sustainability. The loss of nature's bounty has real regional and global economic costs. The analysis of economic benefits of natural systems has advanced very rapidly with the realization that natural systems are vital to the health and development of economies. Economics is re-tooling for the 21,. century with three essential goals: sustainability, justice, and economic progress. Sustainability requires living at a scale that does not destroy the basic natural systems, which maintain

    the economy. Justice and rights are core democratic values. Rights frame and help define economic value. Economic progress provides a global approach to sustainable economic growth, alleviates poverty, and achieves social progress.


    The value of the economic benefits the Intag region provides is enormous; indeed, it is priceless. The benefits provided are local, national and global. The economic value of the watershed is larger than its built economic assets or the underground minerals. This conclusion may be surprising given the price of copper in today's market, however, as this report illuminates, the social and environmental costs of copper extraction are much higher than the value of copper itself.


    74


    In Intag and elsewhere, economic progress depends on healthy communities, healthy people, and sustainable ecosystems. Development progress must be resilient to price fluctuations in single commodities and extend beyond the life of traditional extractive industries. Strategic investment in conservation

    and market development for the rich diversity of ecosystem goods and services is key to the long-term viability of this special region of Ecuador.


    Ecuadorian leadership has critical investment decisions to make. The term "investment" describes the choices we make today to place resources for returns in the future. An economy is the product of previous decades of investment. Future generations will benefit or suffer from the choices made today. This report provides several recommendations for stabilizing and promoting the social and economic conditions in Intag, which include the following:



    The overall conclusion of the report is that economic development within the Intag region is best achieved by tapping the vast value that ecosystem goods and services provide and that this approach is aligned

    with the development vision of Intag communities. Copper development will carry great costs. It is a risky venture dependent upon global economic trends and pricing, and competition from well established and planned mines that could undercut expected profits and tax revenues. In addition, mining is inherently unsustainable. One day a large pile of mine tailings will be left and the mine closed. World Bank studies confirm that most often the benefits of mining accrue to few while the costs are borne by many, and that, overall, extractive industry dependence is associated with economic decline.


    The Intag region is blessed with a flow of benefits on the order of $447 million per year. This is sufficient to build a robust economy given advancement in agroecology, markets, and the development of local

    to international funding mechanisms. Well managed, the resources of the Intag region can provide for sustainable, equitable and prosperous development in the region and nation.


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    75

    PHOTO CREDITS


    COVER

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    The results of this first attempt to assign monetary value to the ecosystem services rendered by the Intag region have important and significant implications for the restoration and management of natural capital in the watershed. Valuation exercises have limitations that must be noted, although these limitations should not detract from the core finding that ecosystems produce significant economic value for society. Benefit transfer

    analysis estimates the economic value of a given ecosystem (e.g., wetlands) from prior studies of that ecosystem type. Like any economic analysis, this methodology has strengths and weaknesses. Some arguments against benefit transfer include:


    1. Every ecosystem is unique; per-hectare values derived from another location may be irrelevant to the ecosystems being studied.


    2. Even within a single ecosystem, the value per hectare depends on the size of the ecosystem; in most cases, as the size decreases, the per-hectare value is expected to increase and vice versa. (In technical terms, the marginal cost per hectare is generally expected to increase as the quantity supplied decreases; a single average value is not the same as a range of marginal values).


    3. Gathering all the information required to estimate the specific value for every ecosystem within the study area is not feasible. Therefore, the "true" value of all of the wetlands, forests, pastureland, etc. in a large geographic area cannot be ascertained. In technical terms, we have far too few data points to construct a realistic demand curve or estimate a demand function.


    4. To value all, or a large proportion, of the ecosystems in a large geographic area is questionable in terms of the standard definition of exchange value; we cannot conceive of a transaction in which all or most of a large area's ecosystems would be bought and sold. This emphasizes the point that the value estimates for large areas (as opposed to the unit values per hectare) are more comparable to national income accounts aggregates and not exchange values.129 These aggregates (i.e. GDP) routinely impute values to public goods for which no conceivable market transaction is possible. The value of ecosystem services of large geographic areas is comparable to these kinds of aggregates (see below).


Proponents of the above arguments recommend an alternative valuation methodology that amounts to limiting valuation to a single ecosystem in a single location and only using data developed expressly for the unique ecosystem being studied, with no attempt to extrapolate from other ecosystems in other locations. An area with the size and landscape complexity of the Intag region will make this approach to valuation extremely difficult and costly. Responses to the above critiques can be summarized as follows:


  1. While each wetland, forest or other ecosystem is unique in some way, ecosystems of a given type, by their definition, have many things in common. The use of average values in ecosystem valuation is no more and no less justified than their use in other "macroeconomic" contexts, for instance, developing economic statistics such as Gross Domestic or Gross State Product. This study's estimate of the aggregate value of Intag's ecosystem services is a valid and extremely useful (albeit imperfect, as are all aggregated economic measures) basis for assessing and comparing these services with conventional economic goods and services.


  2. As employed here, the prior studies we analyzed encompass a wide variety of time periods, geographic areas, investigators and analytic methods. Many of them provide a range of estimated values rather than single point estimates. The present study preserves this variance; no studies were removed from

    the database because their estimated values were deemed to be too high or too low. Limited sensitivity analyses were performed. The approach is similar to determining an asking price for a piece of land based on the prices for comparable parcels. Even though the property being sold is unique, realtors and lenders feel justified in following this procedure to the extent of publicizing a single asking price rather than a price range.


  3. The objection to the absence of even an imaginary exchange transaction was made in response to the study by Costanza et al. (1997) of the value of all of the world's ecosystems. Leaving that debate aside, one can conceive of an exchange transaction in which, for example, all or a large portion of a watershed was sold for development so that the basic technical requirement, that economic values reflect exchange values, could

in principle be satisfied. Even this is not necessary if one recognizes the different purpose of valuation at this scale-a purpose more analogous to national income accounting than to estimating exchange values.129


In this report, we displayed our study results in a way that allows one to appreciate the range of values and their distribution. It is clear from inspection of the tables that the final estimates are not extremely precise. However, they are much better estimates than the alternatives of assuming that ecosystem services have zero value, or, instead, of assuming they have infinite value. Pragmatically, in estimating the value of ecosystem services, it seems better to be approximately right than precisely wrong.


The estimated value of the world's ecosystems presented in Costanza et al. (1997), for example, has been criticized as both (1) a serious underestimate of infinity and (2) impossibly exceeding the entire Gross World Product. These objections seem to be difficult to reconcile, but that may not be so. Just as a human life is "priceless" so are ecosystems, yet people are paid for the work they do.


General Limitations

to sustainable levels would imply higher values for ecosystem services as the effective supply of such services

is reduced.


If the above problems and limitations were addressed, the result would most likely be a narrower range of values and significantly higher values overall. At this point, however, it is impractical to determine precisely how much higher the low and high values would be.

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Human well-being and advancement has always been tied to a healthy supply of nature's goods and services, but early economics models were created in a time of abundant natural resources. In that context, only built, financial and human capital (labor) were identified as constraining factors in the production process. Today's context is very different: Our planet has become "full" of built capital, and natural capital is now the scarce, limiting factor in production. Ecological economics extends basic economics concepts and reflects today's

economy more accurately. The "ecosystem services" framework is an operational way of including natural capital in economics analysis and is important to understanding and embracing an integrated approach to managing a watershed economy.


What's an Economy for, Anyway?

Economies have existed since humans began to make and distribute goods and services; they have been

instrumental in raising our standard of living and comfort. In the late 18th century, Adam Smith, David Ricardo

and other economists articulated many of the basic market concepts that guide economic policy today. When

Smith and Ricardo lived, the population of the Earth was less than one billion people, the Industrial Revolution

was just beginning, the science of ecology did not exist, and natural goods and services were plentiful relative to

manufactured and built capital.119 Thus, the economy focused on improving quality of life through built capital,

allocating plentiful natural resources to build and distribute these built goods.


Early Economics and the Three Economic Questions

Economics is the study of the allocation of limited, or scarce, resources among alternative desirable ends. This

definition can be stated as three questions, in the following order:



Economists have traditionally answered "utility" or "human welfare" to the first question. Human welfare was thought to depend on what people wanted, revealed through market transactions, i.e. goods and services they bought and sold on a market. Classical economics assumed that most scarce resources were market goods, giving the highest attention to one mechanism for allocating alternative resources to alternative ends: the market. This classic thought was also focused on equal allocation of final goods and services (i.e. distribution), and not at all on the problem of an economy's size relative to the natural systems in which it existed (i.e. scale).


Macroeconomic activity is tracked using national economic measures such as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). GDP adds together both final goods and services (coffee, bus transportation, etc.) and "bads" (e.g. oil spill cleanup costs) to arrive at an indication of the economy's total throughput. Today, GDP is often mistakenly

used to measure economic progress on the assumption that the market is thought to supply most of our desired ends (or more specifically, preferences that we reveal for market goods and services). The GDP is a measurement of market transactions; the rate of GDP growth measures the increase in these transactions. The GDP does not measure quality of life or "economic welfare"-in other words, people's quality of life-and was not intended to do so.

Many of today's economic models and norms were developed when natural capital (such as forests and fish) was abundant, and built capital (such as roads and factories) was scarce. Because economic logic tells us that

we should maximize the productivity of the scarcest, most constraining factors, as well as to try to increase their supply, our economy, facilitated by the instrument of finance, has focused on the production of built capital. This focus on built capital has yielded a highly productive market system for manufactured goods. Capital (such as machinery), land and labor have traditionally been considered the primary "factors of production," and the most constraining to economic development. Natural, social (such as culture) and human capital (such as education), on the other hand, has infrequently been included in economic analysis.


Figure A provides a sketch of the "Partial Economy" model, which includes the traditional "factors of production" and the GDP measure.


Figure A - The Partial Economy Model


Labor



Built


Financial Capital


Investment


Production Process


GDP


4"2<,@2<0/

Goods & Services Consumption


Individual Utility

Capital

Land


image

A Shift in Scarcity

Over the past 50 years, humans have changed ecosystems more rapidly and extensively than in any comparable

period in human history, and there is ample evidence that scarcity has shifted from built capital to natural

capital.*() For example, the ability to produce logging machinery, for instance, now far outweighs the world's

forest's ability to grow trees, and timber harvest must be limited by laws and agreements.


Equally, in contrast to several generations prior, timber harvest is now limited by land availability and tree growth, rather than available logging equipment. On a global scale, many experts can now show that humans may be depleting the Earth's flow of natural goods and services faster than the flow can be regenerated, and in many areas we are depleting the natural capital that produces this flow. For example, it has been estimated that humans now directly or indirectly appropriate up to 40 percent of the Earth's annual net primary productivity, dramatically reducing the amount available for other species, including those that support humans (for example, via fisheries).*(* *(( Net Primary Productivity is the total biomass that is produced by ecosystems through photosynthesis, and is the foundation for life on Earth. Other measures present a similar picture: The World Wildlife Fund (WWF) recently calculated the "Ecological Footprint" of humanity, or the land and sea area that would be needed to sustainably regenerate the resources (and absorb the waste) that humans consume annually. It was found that our current rate of resource consumption and waste disposal requires 1.3 planet Earths-and this "footprint" is rising.


image


image

Independent of the measure, it appears that our economy today occupies a significant portion of the biosphere. An important reason for this shift in scarcity is that in the past century alone, the per-capita economic production of market goods and services has increased nine-fold.123 Figures B and C illustrate the human economy's move from the "Empty World" situation of the past to the "Full World" situation that we live in today.


Why has the "Shift in Scarcity" been Overlooked?

The success of the industrial revolution has greatly reduced the scarcity of market goods for much of the world's

population. However, this has entailed a tradeoff: Today, natural goods and services have become scarce.

The shift in scarcity, from built capital to natural capital, holds major implications for the way our economy is

structured and understood. Recognizing why this shift, on a global scale, has not been noticed can be instructive

as we attempt to rebalance natural and built capital, and in addition, human, social and financial capital. Two

major reasons are offered as to why the shift in scarcity has been overlooked, though other reasons certainly

exist:


If natural capital is thought of as a complement to built capital in the creation of goods and services, as it always must be to varying degrees, then its scarcity constrains the other capitals by definition. For example, dams and levees can provide flood protection services, but only after the majority of floodwater mitigation has occurred in headwater forests, wetlands and floodplains. Some natural goods and services, such as oxygen production and carbon sequestration, can be thought of as complements to all types of built capital, because there is no practical built substitute (i.e. all built capital production would cease in the absence of oxygen). In the economy, natural capital is thus, in many respects, an essential complement to built capital.


Ecological Economics: The Whole Economy

The primary goal of ecological economics is to ground economic thinking in the physical reality of today's "full

world," a necessary advancement of economic thought. Ecological economics accepts much of the traditional

economic theory regarding efficient allocation, but differs in fundamental respects, for example by addressing

the problem of scale (i.e. sustainability) directly. Specifically examining the relationship between ecosystems,

the economy, and human well-being, ecological economics recognizes that as a subset of nature, our economy is

best understood in the context of natural systems and processes.53


Ecological economics is recognized worldwide as a tool used to improve decision-making processes at all levels of government. The ecological economic model of the economy, or "Whole Economy" model, illustrated in Figure D, demonstrates that production of goods and services is tied to five capitals: natural, built, human, social and financial. Ecosystem goods and services contribute to human well-being, both directly and by providing natural capital for the production process; the negative feedback loops from pollution and degradation are also included. In addition, Figure D introduces the four guiding principles for a healthy economy: good governance, sustainability, efficiency and justice, which are displayed in blue.


The Value of Natural Capital

In 2001, an international coalition of scientists from the United Nations Environmental Program initiated an

assessment of the effects of ecosystem change on human well-being. The product of this collaboration was

called the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, which classifies ecosystem services (discussed below) into four

broad categories describing their ecological role.


Ecological Economics and the Three Economic Questions

Earlier in this Appendix three core questions of economics were posed, namely:


measuring what our scarce resources are and whether alternative desired ends are being met.


Addressing Inherent Complexity

Importantly, ecological economics is equipped to deal with complexity, which is a physical reality in our economy.

Ecological economics recognizes that each of the five capitals-natural, built, human, social and financial-

are comprised of complex systems that are closely intertwined. Complex systems are characterized by strong

(usually non-linear) interactions between the parts, complex feedback loops that make it difficult to distinguish

cause from effect, and significant time and space lags, discontinuities, thresholds, and limits.124


The concept of economic or ecological resilience is important. Resilience implies the potential of a system to, after disturbance, return to a previous state. A system is assumed to be fragile when resilience is low. Fragile systems tend to be replaced when disturbed; for example, wetlands that are converted to open water produce reduced amounts of ecosystem services and provide less economic value.125 An entire economic system can also collapse without resilience and revert to a less productive one (Somalia, or in many countries' agricultural areas subject to desertification); ecological economics therefore strives to build resilience into economic understanding.


Introduction to Ecosystem Goods and Services

One advantage of the Whole Economy Model is that it can account for the full range of economically valuable

benefits that natural capital provides beyond resource extraction, such as carbon sequestration and water filtration. Ecological economics, guided by the Whole Economy Model, has developed an operational framework through which to accurately internalize the value of nature in economic decision-making, the "ecosystem service" framework. Ecosystem services were recently given higher prominence in the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, a project called for in 2000 by then-United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan, which was completed in 2005.


The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment set out to examine the worldwide changes in ecosystems that have been occurring, the impacts of these changes on human well-being, and options for enhancing the conservation of ecosystems and their contribution to human well-being. The project, involving over 1,360 experts worldwide

and a multi-stakeholder board representing governments, businesses, NGOs, indigenous peoples and international institutions, utilized the concept of "ecosystem services" to best understand the linkages between ecosystems and human well-being. In 2000, The Fund for the Protection of Water (FONAG) was established by the Ecuadorian municipal government, together with local NGOs, to act as a trust fund which uses proceeds contributed by major cities, like Quito, to finance critical ecosystem services. Through the fund, nearly 65,000 hectares of watersheds are now under improved management, by which upstream farmers receive support for watershed protection programs.126


Our natural environment provides many of the things we need to survive: breathable air, drinkable water, food for nourishment, and stable atmospheric conditions, to name a few. These are what we refer to as "ecosystem goods and services." Ecosystem goods and services are those derived from natural systems that provide benefit to humans. Ecosystems perform many functions, but only functions that provide human benefits are considered ecosystem goods or services. Every ecosystem produces a "suite" of ecosystem services.


Healthy, resilient, natural infrastructure, referred to as "natural capital", is critical to the production of ecosystem goods and services. The natural capital of an ecosystem consists of its individual structural components (trees, forests, soil, hill slopes, etc.) that produce dynamic processes (water flows, nutrient cycling, animal life cycles, etc.), which, in turn, create functions (water catchment, soil accumulation, habitat creation, etc.) that generate ecological goods and services (coffee, timber, flood protection, recreation, etc.). This relationship is summarized in Figure E, and might be likened to the production of cars in a factory: To build a car (a "built" good) requires high quality built capital (e.g. the factory, machines, and connection to a power plant), natural capital (e.g. the extracted metal, rubber, food for the workers), human capital (the workers), financial capital (equity to buy the raw materials) and social capital (labor laws and agreements, etc.).


Ecosystem goods and services are different from the economic benefits provided by labor and capital that we typically value in the economy. Although we might include the dollar value of a levee as an economic asset, as measured by the costs of the workers' time, fuel, and earthmoving equipment, if we do not include the value

of flood protection provided by forests, wetlands, and lakes, then the economic analysis is deeply flawed. These "natural" assets sometimes provide more flood protection than built structures and can often be implemented with little or no capital cost (the cost of building a levee or building), and low maintenance costs (the cost of upkeep).


Ecosystem services clearly provide economic value to our measured economy. When the values of ecosystem services are not counted, their loss is often felt economically. Ecological economics provides the framework to include the real value of these goods and services in economic accounting and decision-making. When we alter environmental conditions, critical ecosystem services are damaged or lost, and must then be replaced by more costly built alternatives that are often funded by taxpayers. If ecosystems are valued as assets, however, the most valuable and cost-effective services will not be lost. Otherwise, once lost, many ecosystem goods and services may not be recoverable.

image

Figure E - The Link between Natural Infrastructure and Ecosystem Goods and Services


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Filters Water

Water Supply

Ecosystem Infrastructure & Processses


Ecosystem Functions


image

Drinking Water

Specific Ecosystem Goods & Services


Ecosystem Goods

Ecosystem goods are typically tangible, quantifiable items or flows, such as drinking water, trees for forestry, fish,

and food. Most goods are excludable, which means that if one individual owns or uses a particular good, that

individual can exclude others from owning or using the same good. For example, if one person eats a banana,

another person cannot eat that same banana. Excludable goods can be traded and valued in markets. The

quantity of water produced per second or the amount of timber cut in a 40-year rotation can be measured by

the physical quantity an ecosystem produces over time. The current production of goods can be valued relatively

easily by multiplying the quantity produced by the current market price.


Ecosystem Services

Ecosystem services are defined as "the conditions and processes through which natural ecosystems, and the

species that make them up, sustain and fulfill human life."127 Unlike ecosystem goods, ecosystem services are

generally not tangible items that one can see or hold. Flood protection, recreational value, aesthetic value, and

storm prevention are a few of the services that ecosystems may provide. Though often more difficult to value

because market values rarely exist, ecosystems services have tremendous economic value and are critical both

for our quality of life and for economic production.127 128 There are now economic techniques for valuing many

ecosystem services.


One reason these services have not been monetized is that many ecosystem services are non-excludable. For example, when one person enjoys a view of a sunset, or Cuicocha Lake, another person is not prevented from enjoying the same view. Similarly, many non-paying downstream residents may benefit from the flood protection provided by forested land upstream. Because of the challenge associated with valuing and measuring ecosystem services, they have often been ignored. However, in many cases, the value of a service flow may significantly exceed the value of the flow of goods.


For example, a standing forest may be cut down once every few decades to provide an ecosystem good- timber-with revenue generated from the harvest and sales of the wood. However, the same forest, if left standing, might purify the drinking water for a nearby city for centuries, saving the cost of constructing a filtration plant and the additional costs of maintaining the plant each year as it begins to degrade.

The City of Quito offers an example of the benefits received from protecting watersheds that act as the source

of economic demand for water. For the 1.5 million inhabitants of Quito and its surrounding areas, the availability

of water depends on the conservation of protected areas upstream, where more than 60 percent of the water

supply originates from the Cayambe-Coca Reserve.3

!<<6".)@ C7 L*'-6 81*"3061 +,-.)63 E36. F/ M*". C&:61 C'*33


Land Cover

Ecosystem Service General

Author(s)

Minimum

Maximum

Agricultural Lands

Aesthetic & Recreational

Bergstrom, J., Dillman, B. L. and Stoll, J. R. 1985

$72.03

$72.03

Erosion Control

Canadian Urban Institute.

$14.16

$14.16

Gas & Climate Regulation

Smith, W.N. et al.

$68.43

$68.43

Wilson, Sara J.

$27.70

$774.00

Nutrient Cycling

Canadian Urban Institute.

$54.27

$54.27

Pollination

Robinson, W. S., Nowogrodzki, R. and Morse, R. A. 1989

$31.69

$31.69

Southwick, E. E. and Southwick, L. 1992

$6.29

$6.29

Ricketts, T.H., Daily, G.C., Ehrlich, P.R., and Michener, C.D.

$419.41

$419.41

Raw Materials

Martinet, A.

$988.65

$988.65

Valverde, M. and Gaybor, A.

$2,525.28

$2,525.28

Soil Formation

Canadian Urban Institute.

$14.16

$14.16

Sandhu, H.S., Wratten, S.D., Cullen, R., and Case, B.

$14.16

$14.16

Food Production

Martinet, A.

$384.47

$10,512.64

Valverde, M. and Gaybor, A.

$4,681.29

$4,681.29

Pasture

Soil Formation

Pimentel, D. 1998

$16.29

$16.29

Bamboo


Pasture and Agricultural

Gas & Climate Regulation

Tianhong, L. et al.

$474.45

$615.01

Habitat Refugium & Nursery

Tianhong, L. et al.

$572.85

$572.85

Raw Materials

Tianhong, L. et al.

$456.86

$456.86

Soil Formation

Tianhong, L. et al.

$676.24

$676.24

Waste Treatment

Tianhong, L. et al.

$230.19

$230.19

Water Supply Aesthetic & Recreational

Tianhong, L. et al.

New Jersey Type A Studies 2006

$562.14

$63.68

$562.14

$63.68

Biological Control

Costanza et al. 1997

$33.51

$33.51

Pollination

New Jersey Type A Studies 2006

$5.56

$28.02

Soil Formation

Costanza et al. 1997

$1.41

$1.41

Food Production

Costanza et al. 1997

$86.26

$86.26


Native Andean Alpine Grasslands

Biological Control

Pimentel et al. 1995

$22.61

$22.61

Pimentel et al. 1997

$33.16

$33.16

Erosion Control

Barrow (1991) (Calculated 1992)

$44.21

$44.21

Costanza et al. 1997

$41.83

$41.83

Gas & Climate Regulation

Costanza et al. 1997

$9.51

$9.51

Fankhauser and Pearce (1994)

$9.41

$9.41

Wilson, Sara J.

$25.82

$397.35

Wunder, S., et al.

$148.47

$296.94

Habitat Refugium & Nursery

Asquith et al.

$3.10

$3.10

Pollination

Pimentel et al. 1995

$25.01

$25.01

Pimentel et al. 1997

$36.07

$36.07

Soil Formation

Costanza et al. 1997

$1.44

$1.44

Sala and Paruelo (1997) (Calculated 1994)

$1.21

$1.21

Waste Treatment

Pimentel et al. 1997

$125.49

$125.49

Wunder et al.

$7.48

$14.95

Water Regulation

Costanza et al. 1997

$4.32

$4.32

Jones et al. (1985) (Calculated 1992)

$5.02

$5.02

Water Supply

Asquith et al.

$3.10

$3.10

Wunder, S. et al.

$7.48

$14.95

Food Production

US Dept of Comm (1995) (Calculated 1992)

$57.03

$57.03

Rivers and Lakes

Aesthetic & Recreational

Burt, O. R. and Brewer, D.

$1,209.65

$1,209.65

Cordell, H. K. and Bergstrom, J. C.

$354.58

$3,718.51

Kealy, M. J. and Bishop, R. C.

$33.87

$33.87

Kreutzwiser, R.

$474.75

$474.75

Piper, S.

$629.16

$629.16

Ward, F. A., Roach, B. A. and Henderson, J. E.

$53.64

$5,025.45

Young, C. E. and Shortle, J. S.

$214.39

$214.39

Loomis J.B. 2002

$29,155.62

$51,597.93

Postel & Carpenter 1997

$230.01

$230.01

Habitat Refugium & Nursery

Loomis 1996

$42.33

$42.33

Waste Treatment

Gibbons (1986) (Calculated 1980)

$183.92

$2,391.04

Water Regulation

Gibbons (1986) (Calculated 1980)

$3,697.88

$6,466.48

Water Supply

Bouwes, N. W. and Scheider, R.

$1,617.32

$1,617.32

Croke, K., Fabian, R. and Brenniman, G.

$1,482.30

$1,482.30

Gibbons (1986) (Calculated 1980)

$163.68

$1,257.87

Henry, R., Ley, R. and Welle, P.

$1,124.47

$1,124.47

Howe & Easter (1971) (Calculated 1971)

$361.42

$14,641.83

Piper, S.

$79.91

$79.91

Ribaudo, M. and Epp, D. J.

$2,209.24

$2,209.24

Food Production

Postel & Carpenter 1997

$40.99

$40.99


Cloud Forests

Aesthetic & Recreational

Prince, R. and Ahmed, E.

$3.68

$4.70

Gössling, S.

$9.55

$766.06

Biological Control

Costanza et al. 1997

$5.68

$5.68

Krieger, D.J.

$23.55

$23.55

Erosion Control

Chopra 1993

$6.82

$958.89

Costanza et al. 1997

$136.82

$136.82

Chomitz, K.M., and Kumari, K.

$76.02

$824.93

Magrath, W.B., and Arens, P.

$9.07

$9.07

Gas & Climate Regulation

Pimentel, D. 1998

$32.94

$32.94

Adger et al. 1995

$34.60

$173.01

Mates. W., Reyes, J. 2004

$44.90

$623.02

New Jersey Type A Studies 2006

$26.12

$32.94

Kumari, K.

$500.97

$500.97

Grieg-Gran, M. et al.

$77.23

$135.15

Genetic Resources

Adger et al. 1995

$1.73

$155.71

Pearce, D., and Moran, D.

$34.47

$34.47

Godoy, R. et al.

$55.05

$253.84

Habitat Refugium & Nursery

Amigues, J. P., et. al.

$158.25

$604.54

Amigues, J. P., et. al. 2002

$185.72

$709.56

Garber et al. 1992

$706.82

$1,185.42

Haener, M. K. and Adamowicz, W. L.

$3.76

$25.75

Kenyon, W. and Nevin, C.

$1,310.29

$1,310.29

Shafer, E. L. et. al.

$7.36

$7.36

New Jersey Type A Studies 2006

$2.59

$1,342.82

Asquith et al.

$3.10

$3.10

Nutrient Cycling

Chopra 1993

$1,346.65

$1,346.65

Costanza et al. 1997

$514.55

$514.55

Pollination

Wilson, Sara J.

$487.17

$487.17

New Jersey Type A-C studies 2006

$145.79

$654.83

Asquith et al.

$3.10

$3.10

Raw Materials

Costanza et al. 1997

$35.63

$35.63

Shone and Caviglia-Harris 2006

$20.59

$42.40

Grimes, A. et al.

$3,423.68

$3,423.68

Gram, S.

$11.21

$21.18

Soil Formation

Costanza et al. 1997

$14.26

$14.26

Pimentel et al. 1997

$10.01

$10.01

Waste Treatment

Pimentel et al. 1997

$87.01

$87.01

Adger et al. 1995

$86.51

$259.52

Water Regulation

Loomis, J.B. 1988

$25.17

$25.17

Olewiler, N.

$76.65

$76.65

Water Supply

Asquith et al.

$3.10

$3.10

Kumari

$10.58

$10.58

Food Production

Costanza et al. 1997

$71.27

$71.27

Adger et al. 1995

$2,659.22

$2,659.22

Godoy et. al. 1993

$8.38

$110.13

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